Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 12.8 | BGR | 4.6 | PWM | 9.4 | CON | 6.5 | BTV | 11.6 | BOS | 5.4 | HYA | 1.2 | ORH | 5.4 | PVD | 2.2 | BDR | 1.5 | BDL | 3.9 | Forecaster | ALB | 4.4 | BGM | 5.7 | ISP | 0.5 | JFK | 1.0 | ABE | 1.5 | MDT | 1.5 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.05 | EWR | 0.6 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.0 | DCA | 0.05 | SBY | 0.0 | RIC | 0.0 | ORF | 0.0 | RDU | 0.0 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 80 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |
1 | Tullioz | Journeyman | 02/14/25 20:00 | 8.60 | 4.20 | 3.90 | 0.70 | 6.60 | 2.80 | 7.20 | 0.70 | 13.60 | 2.00 | 4.40 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 5.20 | 0.20 | 2.90 | 0.70 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 3.80 | 0.10 | Tullioz | 4.80 | 0.40 | 4.40 | 1.30 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.20 | 0.70 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Tullioz | Journeyman | 22 | 44 | -1.081 | 48% | 1 | 81 | 1.3 | -0.903 | 87% | 4 | 22.1 | -1.145 | 21% | 1 | 1.00 | -1.049 | 20% | 1 | 0.879 | 1.118 | 8% | 2 | Tullioz | |
2 | TQ | Senior | 02/14/25 21:49 | 12.00 | 0.80 | 4.50 | 0.10 | 4.50 | 4.90 | 5.50 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 0.60 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 0.90 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 0.10 | TQ | 5.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.05 | - | 3.00 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 22 | 49 | -0.931 | 41% | 2 | 83 | 3.4 | -0.675 | 65% | 6 | 24.1 | -0.752 | 14% | 4 | 1.10 | -0.664 | 13% | 4 | 0.873 | 1.004 | 7% | 3 | TQ | |
3 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 02/14/25 21:59 | 13.80 | 1.00 | 6.10 | 1.50 | 5.80 | 3.60 | 6.50 | - | 7.00 | 4.60 | 4.50 | 0.90 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 4.00 | 0.10 | donsutherland1 | 5.00 | 0.60 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | - | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.05 | - | 1.80 | 1.20 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 23 | 53 | -0.840 | 37% | 3 | 80 | 0.6 | -0.974 | 94% | 1 | 23.5 | -0.886 | 16% | 3 | 1.02 | -0.987 | 19% | 3 | 0.856 | 0.706 | 5% | 4 | donsutherland1 | |
4 | Brad Yehl | Senior | 02/14/25 22:00 | 12.40 | 0.40 | 5.20 | 0.60 | 4.80 | 4.60 | 5.40 | 1.10 | 7.20 | 4.40 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 0.30 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.20 | - | 2.40 | 0.90 | 3.20 | 0.70 | Brad Yehl | 4.50 | 0.10 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.20 | 1.90 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Brad Yehl | Senior | 22 | 57 | -0.731 | 32% | 4 | 67 | 12.9 | 0.367 | -35% | 9 | 22.1 | -1.135 | 21% | 2 | 1.01 | -1.040 | 20% | 2 | 0.884 | 1.194 | 8% | 1 | Brad Yehl | |
5 | WeatherT | Senior | 02/14/25 20:35 | 7.50 | 5.30 | 3.50 | 1.10 | 5.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 0.50 | 11.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 4.50 | 2.30 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.90 | WeatherT | 4.00 | 0.40 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 22 | 67 | -0.463 | 20% | 5 | 68 | 11.7 | 0.231 | -22% | 8 | 25.1 | -0.560 | 10% | 5 | 1.14 | -0.476 | 9% | 5 | 0.856 | 0.691 | 5% | 5 | WeatherT | |
6 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 02/14/25 06:25 | 13.00 | 0.20 | 8.00 | 3.40 | 6.60 | 2.80 | 7.00 | 0.50 | 6.00 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 3.80 | 2.60 | 5.70 | 0.30 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.10 | Herb @MAWS | 5.00 | 0.60 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | - | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 23 | 76 | -0.204 | 9% | 6 | 83 | 2.9 | -0.724 | 70% | 5 | 27.5 | -0.101 | 2% | 6 | 1.20 | -0.250 | 5% | 6 | 0.785 | -0.563 | -4% | 10 | Herb @MAWS | |
7 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | Senior | 02/14/25 16:51 | 16.00 | 3.20 | 7.50 | 2.90 | 5.50 | 3.90 | 8.00 | 1.50 | 6.00 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 5.50 | 0.10 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 3.50 | 0.40 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | 5.50 | 1.10 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.40 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | Senior | 23 | 78 | -0.159 | 7% | 7 | 80 | 0.6 | -0.974 | 94% | 2 | 28.2 | 0.034 | -1% | 7 | 1.23 | -0.124 | 2% | 7 | 0.791 | -0.463 | -3% | 9 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | |
8 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 02/14/25 22:00 | 17.80 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 2.40 | 6.00 | 3.40 | 8.20 | 1.70 | 6.90 | 4.70 | 4.90 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 3.30 | 1.10 | 2.10 | 0.60 | 2.60 | 1.30 | NWS ER WFOs | 4.90 | 0.50 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 22 | 79 | -0.133 | 6% | 8 | 81 | 0.8 | -0.952 | 92% | 3 | 28.5 | 0.081 | -2% | 8 | 1.30 | 0.153 | -3% | 9 | 0.805 | -0.213 | -1% | 8 | NWS ER WFOs | |
9 | bubbler86 | Senior | 02/14/25 09:29 | 17.00 | 4.20 | 9.00 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 0.50 | 11.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 5.00 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.10 | bubbler86 | 7.00 | 2.60 | 5.00 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | - | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | bubbler86 | Senior | 22 | 90 | 0.175 | -8% | 9 | 91 | 11.3 | 0.189 | -18% | 7 | 31.5 | 0.656 | -12% | 10 | 1.43 | 0.716 | -14% | 10 | 0.807 | -0.176 | -1% | 7 | bubbler86 | |
10 | JessicaCain | Senior | 02/14/25 21:03 | 15.00 | 2.20 | 6.90 | 2.30 | 4.30 | 5.10 | 5.70 | 0.80 | 5.20 | 6.40 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 4.90 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.60 | 2.30 | JessicaCain | 4.60 | 0.20 | 4.60 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 1.80 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.20 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 23 | 96 | 0.334 | -15% | 10 | 63 | 17.1 | 0.818 | -79% | 10 | 28.5 | 0.082 | -2% | 9 | 1.24 | -0.080 | 2% | 8 | 0.760 | -1.007 | -7% | 11 | JessicaCain | |
11 | NJTom | Senior | 02/14/25 13:21 | 14.70 | 1.90 | 13.80 | 9.20 | 14.10 | 4.70 | 10.30 | 3.80 | 11.80 | 0.20 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 7.50 | 2.10 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.80 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 1.30 | NJTom | 6.80 | 2.40 | 4.60 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NJTom | Senior | 22 | 149 | 1.745 | -77% | 11 | 104 | 24.7 | 1.643 | -158% | 11 | 35.6 | 1.451 | -27% | 11 | 1.62 | 1.497 | -29% | 11 | 0.822 | 0.100 | 1% | 6 | NJTom | |
12 | RogerSmith | Senior | 02/14/25 20:44 | 12.50 | 0.30 | 3.50 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 7.40 | 2.00 | 4.50 | 17.70 | 6.10 | 1.00 | 4.40 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 3.90 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.90 | RogerSmith | 2.50 | 1.90 | 5.70 | - | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 22 | 169 | 2.289 | -101% | 12 | 52 | 27.5 | 1.952 | -188% | 12 | 39.9 | 2.275 | -42% | 12 | 1.82 | 2.305 | -44% | 12 | 0.683 | -2.390 | -16% | 12 | RogerSmith | |
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 268 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 7.5 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | - | 5.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | MIN | 2.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 22 | 43.8 | -1.081 | -101.1% | 1 | 52.2 | 0.6 | -0.974 | -187.9% | 1 | 22.1 | -1.145 | -42.3% | 1 | 1.00 | -1.049 | -44.3% | 1 | 0.683 | -2.390 | -16.4% | 1 | MIN | ||
Intern | - | MAX | 17.8 | 5.3 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 14.1 | 7.4 | 10.3 | 4.5 | 17.7 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.9 | MAX | 7.0 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.3 | 0.30 | 0.2 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 23 | 168.7 | 2.289 | 47.8% | 12 | 104.4 | 27.5 | 1.952 | 93.7% | 12 | 39.9 | 2.275 | 21.3% | 12 | 1.82 | 2.305 | 20.2% | 12 | 0.884 | 1.194 | 8.2% | 12 | MAX | |||
Journey | 1 | AVG | 13.4 | 2.4 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 0.9 | AVG | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.06 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 22 | 83.9 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 77.7 | 9.6 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 28.1 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 1.26 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.817 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | |||
Senior | 9 | Median | 13.4 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | Median | 5.0 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.03 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 22 | 77.2 | -0.182 | 8.0% | 7 | 80.4 | 7.3 | -0.243 | 23.4% | 7 | 27.9 | -0.033 | 0.6% | 7 | 1.21 | -0.187 | 3.6% | 7 | 0.815 | -0.038 | -0.3% | 7 | Median | |||
Chief | 1 | Mode | #N/A | #N/A | 3.5 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 11.0 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 | #N/A | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | Mode | 5.0 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | #N/A | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 22 | Mode | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
GOVT | 1 | STD | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | STD | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.1 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 0 | 37.1 | 1.000 | 44.2% | 3 | 13.1 | 9.2 | 1.000 | 96.3% | 3 | 5.2 | 1.000 | 18.6% | 3 | 0.24 | 1.000 | 19.2% | 3 | 0.056 | 1.000 | 6.9% | 3 | STD | |||
PWSP | - | 25% | ile | 12.3 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 25% | 4.6 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 22 | 55.8 | -0.758 | -9.5% | 4 | 67.7 | 1.1 | -0.915 | -46.2% | 4 | 24.0 | -0.785 | -4.2% | 4 | 1.08 | -0.745 | -5.6% | 4 | 0.789 | -0.488 | -3.4% | 4 | |||
TOT | 12 | 75% | ile | 15.3 | 4.2 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 75% | 5.1 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 0.1 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 23 | 91.9 | 0.215 | 33.5% | 9 | 82.7 | 14.0 | 0.480 | 88.1% | 9 | 29.2 | 0.225 | 14.6% | 9 | 1.33 | 0.294 | 14.3% | 9 | 0.861 | 0.781 | 5.4% | 9 |