Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 1.30 | BGR | 9.0 | PWM | 8.0 | CON | 12.0 | BTV | 10.0 | BOS | 0.1 | HYA | 0.0 | ORH | 5.5 | PVD | 0.0 | BDR | 0.0 | BDL | 0.6 | Forecaster | ALB | 2.6 | BGM | 0.6 | ISP | 0.0 | JFK | 0.0 | ABE | 0.0 | MDT | 0.0 | PHL | 0.00 | ACY | 0.0 | EWR | 0.0 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.05 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.0 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 49.7 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |
1 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 04/02/24 20:37 | 2.20 | 0.90 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | donsutherland1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 12 | 33 | -0.873 | 64% | 1 | 41 | 9 | -0.959 | 40% | 2 | 12.4 | -1.035 | 43% | 2 | 1.04 | -1.177 | 36% | 1 | 0.923 | 0.658 | 16% | 1 | donsutherland1 | |
2 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | Senior | 04/02/24 20:48 | 1.80 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 12.0 | - | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 2.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | Senior | 11 | 41 | -0.772 | 57% | 2 | 39 | 11 | -0.565 | 24% | 3 | 12.1 | -1.069 | 44% | 1 | 1.10 | -1.040 | 32% | 2 | 0.906 | 0.567 | 13% | 2 | EastCoastSnowstormCenter | |
3 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 04/02/24 20:38 | 1.7 | 0.40 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 11.2 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.9 | 3.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | NWS ER WFOs | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 10 | 51 | -0.626 | 46% | 3 | 36 | 13 | -0.187 | 8% | 6 | 14.2 | -0.837 | 35% | 3 | 1.42 | -0.384 | 12% | 5 | 0.889 | 0.480 | 11% | 3 | NWS ER WFOs | |
4 | Shillelagh | Senior | 04/02/24 20:39 | 3.5 | 2.20 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 11.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.3 | 4.2 | - | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | Shillelagh | 3.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Senior | 13 | 57 | -0.539 | 40% | 4 | 44 | 5 | -1.526 | 64% | 1 | 17.0 | -0.533 | 22% | 4 | 1.31 | -0.624 | 19% | 4 | 0.840 | 0.221 | 5% | 5 | Shillelagh | |
5 | JessicaCain | Senior | 04/02/24 16:30 | 4.10 | 2.80 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 10.8 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.2 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | JessicaCain | 2.4 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 11 | 70 | -0.340 | 25.1% | 5 | 38.3 | 11 | -0.515 | 22% | 4 | 20.4 | -0.152 | 6% | 7 | 1.86 | 0.503 | -15% | 8 | 0.827 | 0.151 | 4% | 8 | JessicaCain | |
6 | NJTom | Senior | 04/02/24 09:17 | 3.6 | 2.30 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 12.8 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | 1.6 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | NJTom | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NJTom | Senior | 16 | 70.6 | -0.337 | 24.9% | 6 | 37.8 | 12 | -0.433 | 18% | 5 | 20.1 | -0.185 | 8% | 6 | 1.26 | -0.723 | 22% | 3 | 0.814 | 0.084 | 2% | 9 | NJTom | |
7 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 04/02/24 17:38 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.2 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.05 | 0.6 | Herb @MAWS | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 11 | 71.2 | -0.329 | 24% | 7 | 34 | 15 | 0.150 | -6% | 7 | 18.7 | -0.345 | 14% | 5 | 1.70 | 0.178 | -5% | 7 | 0.837 | 0.206 | 5% | 7 | Herb @MAWS | |
8 | TQ | Senior | 04/02/24 20:33 | 5.0 | 3.70 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | TQ | 5.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 19 | 125 | 0.446 | -33% | 8 | 76 | 26 | 1.909 | -80% | 10 | 31.2 | 1.035 | -43% | 9 | 1.64 | 0.060 | -2% | 6 | 0.838 | 0.207 | 5% | 6 | TQ | |
9 | bubbler86 | Senior | 04/01/24 15:34 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | bubbler86 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | bubbler86 | Senior | 15 | 146 | 0.751 | -55% | 9 | 71 | 22 | 1.161 | -49% | 9 | 30.6 | 0.975 | -40% | 8 | 2.04 | 0.881 | -27% | 9 | 0.870 | 0.377 | 9% | 4 | bubbler86 | |
10 | RogerSmith | Senior | 04/02/24 21:01 | 6.0 | 4.70 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | 1.0 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | RogerSmith | 3.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 15 | 275 | 2.619 | -193% | 10 | 29 | 20 | 0.964 | -40% | 8 | 41.2 | 2.145 | -89% | 10 | 2.75 | 2.326 | -71% | 10 | 0.239 | -2.951 | -70% | 10 | RogerSmith | |
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 133 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | MIN | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 10 | 33.5 | -0.873 | -193.0% | 1 | 29.3 | 5.2 | -1.526 | -79.9% | 1 | 12.1 | -1.069 | -89.0% | 1 | 1.04 | -1.177 | -70.5% | 1 | 0.239 | -2.951 | -70.0% | 1 | MIN | ||
Intern | - | MAX | 6.0 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | MAX | 5.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 19 | 275.4 | 2.619 | 64.4% | 10 | 75.9 | 26.2 | 1.909 | 63.9% | 10 | 41.2 | 2.145 | 44.3% | 10 | 2.75 | 2.326 | 35.7% | 10 | 0.923 | 0.658 | 15.6% | 10 | MAX | |||
Journey | - | AVG | 3.4 | 2.1 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | AVG | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 13 | 94.0 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 44.7 | 14.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 21.8 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 1.61 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.798 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | AVG | |||
Senior | 9 | Median | 3.5 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 11.4 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Median | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 13 | 70.5 | -0.339 | 25.0% | 6 | 38.5 | 12.6 | -0.310 | 13.0% | 6 | 19.4 | -0.265 | 11.0% | 6 | 1.53 | -0.162 | 4.9% | 6 | 0.839 | 0.214 | 5.1% | 6 | Median | |||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 3.5 | 2.2 | 12.0 | 3.0 | #N/A | 0.5 | #N/A | 0.8 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.2 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.4 | Mode | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 11 | Mode | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.67 | 1.81 | 4.44 | 2.97 | 4.39 | 3.51 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.16 | 1.12 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.59 | 0.34 | STD | 1.10 | 0.65 | 1.20 | 1.14 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.06 | - | - | - | - | 0.02 | 0.02 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 3 | 69.3 | 1.000 | 73.7% | 2.9 | 14.9 | 6.1 | 1.000 | 41.9% | 2.9 | 9.1 | 1.000 | 41.5% | 2.9 | 0.49 | 1.000 | 30.3% | 2.9 | 0.189 | 1.000 | 23.7% | 2.9 | STD | |||
TOT | 10 | 25% | ile | 2.3 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 10.9 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1.2 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.3 | 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 11 | 52.1 | -0.604 | -18.6% | 3 | 36.7 | 11.2 | -0.552 | -31.8% | 3 | 14.9 | -0.761 | -28.8% | 3 | 1.27 | -0.698 | -12.8% | 3 | 0.829 | 0.164 | 3.9% | 3 | |||
75% | ile | 4.0 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 12.6 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 75% | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 15 | 111.5 | 0.252 | 44.5% | 8 | 43.6 | 19.2 | 0.760 | 23.1% | 8 | 28.1 | 0.693 | 31.6% | 8 | 1.82 | 0.422 | 21.2% | 8 | 0.884 | 0.454 | 10.8% | 8 |