Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 0.6 | BGR | 6.1 | PWM | 4.1 | CON | 10.0 | BTV | 13.7 | BOS | 0.5 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 14.4 | PVD | 0.1 | BDR | 0.05 | BDL | 4.5 | Forecaster | ALB | 10.1 | BGM | 5.4 | ISP | 1.2 | JFK | 0.1 | ABE | 0.05 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.05 | EWR | 0.4 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.0 | DCA | 0.05 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.0 | ORF | 0.0 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 71.2 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | ||
1 | ChrisMartzWX | Rookie | 03/12/23 21:01 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | ChrisMartzWX | 13.0 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | ChrisMartzWX | Rookie | 23 | 185 | -1.191 | 50% | 1 | 66 | 5 | -1.062 | 85% | 2 | 37.4 | -1.252 | 40% | 1 | 1.63 | -1.248 | 39% | 1 | 0.644 | 1.385 | 21% | 2 | ChrisMartzWX | ||
2 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 03/12/23 19:00 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.65 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | Herb @MAWS | 12.0 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.95 | 0.05 | - | 0.3 | 0.25 | 0.1 | - | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 23 | 251 | -0.762 | 32% | 2 | 81 | 10 | -0.891 | 72% | 3 | 44.7 | -0.882 | 28% | 2 | 1.95 | -0.861 | 27% | 2 | 0.542 | 0.133 | 2% | 6 | Herb @MAWS | ||
3 | WeatherT | Senior | 03/12/23 18:36 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | WeatherT | 10.0 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 24 | 257 | -0.722 | 30% | 3 | 93 | 22 | -0.488 | 39% | 7 | 52.0 | -0.512 | 16% | 6 | 2.17 | -0.589 | 18% | 6 | 0.536 | 0.058 | 1% | 7 | WeatherT | ||
4 | Shillelagh | Senior | 03/12/23 21:01 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | Shillelagh | 12.0 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 8.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Senior | 23 | 263 | -0.683 | 29% | 4 | 70 | 2 | -1.187 | 96% | 1 | 48.1 | -0.709 | 23% | 4 | 2.09 | -0.681 | 21% | 4 | 0.499 | -0.390 | -6% | 9 | Shillelagh | ||
5 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 03/12/23 20:50 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | donsutherland1 | 11.3 | 1.2 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 1.2 | - | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 23 | 283 | -0.558 | 23% | 5 | 88 | 16 | -0.674 | 54% | 4 | 47.0 | -0.767 | 24% | 3 | 2.04 | -0.742 | 23% | 3 | 0.510 | -0.252 | -4% | 8 | donsutherland1 | ||
6 | JessicaCain | Senior | 03/12/23 20:54 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 9.5 | 5.4 | 9.8 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 1.2 | JessicaCain | 14.4 | 4.3 | 12.8 | 7.4 | 1.2 | - | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 23 | 288 | -0.528 | 22% | 6 | 91 | 20 | -0.554 | 45% | 5 | 48.6 | -0.684 | 22% | 5 | 2.12 | -0.654 | 20% | 5 | 0.542 | 0.139 | 2% | 5 | JessicaCain | ||
7 | TQ | Senior | 03/12/23 20:44 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 5.95 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 6.0 | TQ | 13.0 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.45 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 25 | 321 | -0.310 | 13% | 7 | 115 | 44 | 0.274 | -22% | 9 | 65.6 | 0.178 | -6% | 9 | 2.63 | -0.032 | 1% | 8 | 0.547 | 0.193 | 3% | 4 | TQ | ||
8 | RogerSmith | Senior | 03/12/23 20:02 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 11.2 | 7.1 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 18.2 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.7 | 3.2 | RogerSmith | 16.2 | 6.1 | 12.5 | 7.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.05 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.05 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 24 | 344 | -0.164 | 7% | 8 | 129 | 57 | 0.753 | -61% | 10 | 67.7 | 0.284 | -9% | 10 | 2.82 | 0.208 | -6% | 10 | 0.733 | 2.484 | 38% | 1 | RogerSmith | ||
9 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 03/12/23 20:51 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 9.7 | 5.6 | 9.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 0.7 | NWS ER WFOs | 14.1 | 4.0 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.05 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 23 | 350 | -0.125 | 5% | 9 | 92 | 21 | -0.523 | 42% | 6 | 54.9 | -0.365 | 12% | 7 | 2.39 | -0.321 | 10% | 7 | 0.442 | -1.093 | -17% | 11 | NWS ER WFOs | ||
10 | VWN Quags | Senior | 03/12/23 20:50 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 12.0 | 7.9 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | VWN Quags | 16.5 | 6.4 | 11.0 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.05 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | VWN Quags | Senior | 23 | 430 | 0.389 | -16% | 10 | 105 | 34 | -0.071 | 6% | 8 | 62.0 | -0.005 | 0% | 8 | 2.70 | 0.055 | -2% | 9 | 0.442 | -1.098 | -17% | 12 | VWN Quags | ||
11 | MitchelVolk | Senior | 03/12/23 20:47 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.95 | 15.0 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 6.5 | MitchelVolk | 12.0 | 1.9 | 11.0 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MitchelVolk | Senior | 23 | 502 | 0.852 | -36% | 11 | 133 | 62 | 0.907 | -73% | 11 | 83.5 | 1.085 | -34% | 11 | 3.63 | 1.194 | -37% | 11 | 0.466 | -0.800 | -12% | 10 | MitchelVolk | ||
12 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | PWSP | 03/12/23 21:01 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 3.6 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 7.5 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | 18.0 | 7.9 | 12.0 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | PWSP | 23 | 546 | 1.135 | -48% | 12 | 140 | 69 | 1.150 | -93% | 12 | 85.2 | 1.171 | -37% | 12 | 3.71 | 1.284 | -40% | 12 | 0.565 | 0.423 | 6% | 3 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | ||
13 | snowman | Senior | 03/12/23 14:11 | 14.2 | 13.6 | 12.3 | 6.2 | 11.0 | 6.9 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 1.2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 8.95 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | snowman | 13.0 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.50 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | snowman | Senior | 24 | 784 | 2.668 | -112% | 13 | 175 | 104 | 2.367 | -190% | 13 | 110.6 | 2.458 | -78% | 13 | 4.61 | 2.385 | -74% | 13 | 0.435 | -1.183 | -18% | 13 | snowman | ||
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 304 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||||
Rookie | 1 | Consensus | MIN | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.3 | - | MIN | 10.0 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 23 | 184.5 | -1.191 | -112.1% | 1 | 66.0 | 1.6 | -1.187 | -190.5% | 1 | 37.4 | -1.252 | -78.1% | 1 | 1.63 | -1.248 | -73.8% | 1 | 0.435 | -1.183 | -18.1% | 1 | MIN | |||
Intern | - | MAX | 14.2 | 13.6 | 12.3 | 6.2 | 12.0 | 7.9 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 18.2 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 7.5 | MAX | 18.0 | 7.9 | 13.8 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.5 | 1.50 | 0.5 | 0.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | MAX | 25 | 783.6 | 2.668 | 50.1% | 13 | 175.0 | 103.8 | 2.367 | 95.5% | 13 | 110.6 | 2.458 | 39.7% | 13 | 4.61 | 2.385 | 38.6% | 13 | 0.733 | 2.484 | 38.1% | 13 | MAX | ||||
Journey | - | AVG | 4.3 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 2.8 | AVG | 13.5 | 3.4 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.07 | 0.2 | 0.16 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | AVG | 23 | 369.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 105.9 | 35.7 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 62.1 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 2.65 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.531 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||||
Senior | 10 | Median | 3.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 1.5 | Median | 13.0 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 23 | 321.3 | -0.310 | 13.0% | 7 | 92.9 | 21.7 | -0.488 | 39.3% | 7 | 54.9 | -0.365 | 11.6% | 7 | 2.39 | -0.321 | 9.9% | 7 | 0.536 | 0.058 | 0.9% | 7 | Median | ||||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 0.4 | #N/A | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | Mode | 13.0 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 23 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | 1 | STD | 3.24 | 3.24 | 1.99 | 1.56 | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.94 | 1.64 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.91 | 2.91 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 3.05 | 1.77 | 2.09 | 2.09 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 3.06 | 2.41 | STD | 2.19 | 2.17 | 2.28 | 1.94 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 2.01 | 2.01 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 1.48 | 1.33 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.00 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | STD | 1 | 155.2 | 1.000 | 42.0% | 3.7 | 30.0 | 28.8 | 1.000 | 80.5% | 3.7 | 19.7 | 1.000 | 31.8% | 3.7 | 0.82 | 1.000 | 31.0% | 3.7 | 0.081 | 1.000 | 15.3% | 3.7 | STD | ||||
TOT | 13 | 25% | ile | 2.5 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 25% | 12.0 | 1.9 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 23 | 263.5 | -0.683 | -16.3% | 4 | 87.6 | 16.4 | -0.674 | -60.6% | 4 | 48.1 | -0.709 | -9.0% | 4 | 2.09 | -0.681 | -6.4% | 4 | 0.466 | -0.800 | -12.3% | 4 | ||||
75% | ile | 4.5 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.3 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 75% | 14.4 | 4.3 | 12.0 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 24 | 429.8 | 0.389 | 28.7% | 10 | 128.6 | 57.4 | 0.753 | 54.2% | 10 | 67.7 | 0.284 | 22.5% | 10 | 2.82 | 0.208 | 21.1% | 10 | 0.547 | 0.193 | 3.0% | 10 |