Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 0.20 | BGR | 5.20 | PWM | 8.50 | CON | 7.50 | BTV | 6.90 | BOS | 0.50 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 4.30 | PVD | 0.60 | BDR | 0.00 | BDL | 3.30 | Forecaster | ALB | 7.80 | BGM | 3.10 | ISP | 0.05 | JFK | 0.00 | ABE | 0.05 | MDT | 0.00 | PHL | 0.00 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.05 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.05 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 47.9 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | ||
1 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 03/02/23 22:01 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | NWS ER WFOs | 7.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 18 | 38 | -0.898 | 70% | 1 | 58 | 10 | -0.768 | 55% | 3 | 16.1 | -1.153 | 47% | 1 | 0.89 | -1.273 | 47% | 1 | 0.916 | 0.968 | 19% | 2 | NWS ER WFOs | ||
2 | JessicaCain | Senior | 03/02/23 19:29 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | JessicaCain | 7.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 17 | 40 | -0.882 | 68% | 2 | 54 | 6 | -1.033 | 74% | 1 | 18.0 | -0.998 | 41% | 2 | 1.06 | -1.008 | 38% | 2 | 0.892 | 0.803 | 15% | 4 | JessicaCain | ||
3 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 03/02/23 21:45 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 11.2 | 2.7 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 0.7 | donsutherland1 | 8.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 18 | 44 | -0.837 | 65% | 3 | 65 | 17 | -0.300 | 21% | 6 | 19.2 | -0.903 | 37% | 4 | 1.07 | -0.996 | 37% | 4 | 0.912 | 0.940 | 18% | 3 | donsutherland1 | ||
4 | Shillelagh | Senior | 03/02/23 21:58 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.45 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | Shillelagh | 7.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Senior | 18 | 52 | -0.760 | 59% | 4 | 64 | 16 | -0.375 | 27% | 5 | 19.2 | -0.907 | 37% | 3 | 1.07 | -1.001 | 37% | 3 | 0.921 | 1.003 | 19% | 1 | Shillelagh | ||
5 | TQ | Senior | 03/02/23 21:42 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 11.5 | 6.3 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | TQ | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 19 | 95 | -0.323 | 25% | 5 | 65 | 17 | -0.261 | 19% | 7 | 29.2 | -0.111 | 5% | 5 | 1.54 | -0.252 | 9% | 5 | 0.770 | -0.018 | 0% | 7 | TQ | ||
6 | bubbler86 | Senior | 03/02/23 09:06 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.95 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | bubbler86 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | bubbler86 | Senior | 18 | 121 | -0.052 | 4% | 6 | 81 | 33 | 0.754 | -54% | 9 | 33.2 | 0.205 | -8% | 8 | 1.85 | 0.235 | -9% | 7 | 0.832 | 0.403 | 8% | 5 | bubbler86 | ||
7 | snowman | Senior | 03/02/23 18:07 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | snowman | 9.0 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.8 | 0.70 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | snowman | Senior | 17 | 123 | -0.032 | 2% | 7 | 62 | 14 | -0.460 | 33% | 4 | 29.7 | -0.076 | 3% | 6 | 1.75 | 0.076 | -3% | 6 | 0.627 | -0.983 | -19% | 10 | snowman | ||
8 | MarkHofmann | Senior | 03/02/23 11:40 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.95 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | MarkHofmann | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MarkHofmann | Senior | 18 | 132 | 0.059 | -5% | 8 | 54 | 6 | -1.000 | 71% | 2 | 37.2 | 0.522 | -21% | 9 | 2.07 | 0.586 | -22% | 9 | 0.412 | -2.436 | -47% | 11 | MarkHofmann | ||
9 | iralibov | Senior | 03/02/23 22:01 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 0.7 | 15.6 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | iralibov | 4.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | iralibov | Senior | 16 | 159 | 0.327 | -25% | 9 | 70 | 22 | 0.070 | -5% | 8 | 32.0 | 0.106 | -4% | 7 | 2.00 | 0.476 | -18% | 8 | 0.712 | -0.408 | -8% | 8 | iralibov | ||
10 | VWN Quags | Senior | 03/02/23 15:25 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | VWN Quags | 7.5 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | VWN Quags | Senior | 18 | 192 | 0.662 | -51% | 10 | 82 | 34 | 0.800 | -57% | 10 | 41.8 | 0.886 | -36% | 10 | 2.32 | 0.991 | -37% | 10 | 0.699 | -0.498 | -10% | 9 | VWN Quags | ||
11 | RogerSmith | Senior | 03/02/23 21:40 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 14.5 | 7.0 | 16.8 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | RogerSmith | 10.3 | 2.5 | 11.8 | 8.7 | 0.1 | - | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.1 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 20 | 395 | 2.736 | -212% | 11 | 109 | 61 | 2.573 | -184% | 11 | 61.3 | 2.430 | -100% | 11 | 3.07 | 2.166 | -81% | 11 | 0.806 | 0.226 | 4% | 6 | RogerSmith | ||
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 197 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.4 | MIN | 4.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 16 | 38.5 | -0.898 | -212.1% | 1 | 53.5 | 5.6 | -1.033 | -183.9% | 1 | 16.1 | -1.153 | -100.1% | 1 | 0.89 | -1.273 | -80.6% | 1 | 0.412 | -2.436 | -46.7% | 1 | MIN | |||
Intern | - | MAX | 8.0 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 6.3 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 15.6 | 8.1 | 16.8 | 9.9 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | MAX | 11.0 | 3.8 | 11.8 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 20 | 395.1 | 2.736 | 69.6% | 11 | 108.6 | 60.7 | 2.573 | 73.8% | 11 | 61.3 | 2.430 | 47.5% | 11 | 3.07 | 2.166 | 47.4% | 11 | 0.921 | 1.003 | 19.2% | 11 | MAX | ||||
Journey | - | AVG | 3.1 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | AVG | 7.4 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 18 | 126.6 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 69.3 | 21.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 30.7 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 1.70 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.773 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | AVG | ||||
Senior | 10 | Median | 3.0 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | Median | 7.5 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 18 | 121.5 | -0.052 | 4.0% | 6 | 64.7 | 16.8 | -0.300 | 21.4% | 6 | 29.7 | -0.076 | 3.1% | 6 | 1.75 | 0.076 | -2.8% | 6 | 0.806 | 0.226 | 4.3% | 6 | Median | ||||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 0.0 | 0.2 | #N/A | #N/A | 13.5 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 2.1 | #N/A | #N/A | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.7 | Mode | 7.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 18 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 2.72 | 2.64 | 2.97 | 2.02 | 3.28 | 1.36 | 3.07 | 2.31 | 3.09 | 2.94 | 2.16 | 2.16 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.44 | 0.83 | STD | 2.12 | 1.35 | 2.97 | 2.52 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.01 | - | - | 0.21 | 0.19 | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 1 | 98.1 | 1.000 | 77.5% | 3.2 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 1.000 | 71.5% | 3.2 | 12.6 | 1.000 | 41.2% | 3.2 | 0.63 | 1.000 | 37.2% | 3.2 | 0.148 | 1.000 | 19.2% | 3.2 | STD | ||||
TOT | 11 | 25% | ile | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 18 | 48.2 | -0.798 | -14.9% | 4 | 59.9 | 12.0 | -0.614 | -29.4% | 4 | 19.2 | -0.905 | -15.0% | 4 | 1.07 | -0.998 | -19.8% | 4 | 0.706 | -0.453 | -8.7% | 4 | ||||
75% | ile | 4.4 | 4.2 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 11.0 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 18 | 145.5 | 0.193 | 61.9% | 9 | 75.6 | 27.7 | 0.412 | 43.9% | 9 | 35.2 | 0.364 | 37.3% | 9 | 2.03 | 0.531 | 37.1% | 9 | 0.902 | 0.872 | 16.7% | 9 |