Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 2.90 | BGR | 4.90 | PWM | 6.40 | CON | 4.40 | BTV | 3.30 | BOS | 0.80 | HYA | 1.75 | ORH | 4.30 | PVD | 5.20 | BDR | 3.80 | BDL | 5.90 | Forecaster | ALB | 4.50 | BGM | 4.20 | ISP | 2.70 | JFK | 1.50 | ABE | 2.20 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.05 | EWR | 1.70 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 60.5 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | ||
1 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 02/26/23 21:53 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 0.2 | donsutherland1 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.60 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 3.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 20 | 18 | -1.053 | 65% | 1 | 61 | 1 | -0.762 | 90% | 2 | 14.1 | -1.243 | 40% | 1 | 0.70 | -1.243 | 40% | 1 | 0.852 | 1.130 | 22% | 1 | donsutherland1 | ||
2 | WeatherT | Senior | 02/26/23 15:43 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.25 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 0.1 | WeatherT | 5.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 20 | 25 | -0.824 | 51% | 2 | 59 | 2 | -0.672 | 79% | 4 | 14.4 | -1.204 | 39% | 2 | 0.72 | -1.204 | 39% | 2 | 0.792 | 0.681 | 13% | 3 | WeatherT | ||
3 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 02/26/23 22:01 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 1.0 | NWS ER WFOs | 6.1 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.10 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.50 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 3.3 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 20 | 29 | -0.719 | 44% | 3 | 64 | 3 | -0.536 | 63% | 5 | 18.6 | -0.651 | 21% | 3 | 0.93 | -0.651 | 21% | 3 | 0.787 | 0.644 | 12% | 4 | NWS ER WFOs | ||
4 | VWN Quags | Senior | 02/26/23 21:47 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 2.25 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 5.0 | 0.9 | VWN Quags | 6.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | 0.5 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | VWN Quags | Senior | 20 | 31 | -0.655 | 40% | 4 | 65 | 5 | -0.436 | 51% | 6 | 19.1 | -0.585 | 19% | 4 | 0.95 | -0.585 | 19% | 4 | 0.781 | 0.601 | 12% | 5 | VWN Quags | ||
5 | JessicaCain | Senior | 02/26/23 17:54 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 0.7 | JessicaCain | 5.8 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.30 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 1.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 20 | 32 | -0.605 | 37% | 5 | 59 | 2 | -0.690 | 81% | 3 | 21.1 | -0.322 | 10% | 5 | 1.05 | -0.322 | 10% | 5 | 0.766 | 0.491 | 9% | 6 | JessicaCain | ||
6 | Shillelagh | Senior | 02/26/23 22:01 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.95 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 0.4 | Shillelagh | 7.3 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Senior | 20 | 44 | -0.232 | 14% | 6 | 55 | 6 | -0.346 | 41% | 7 | 22.9 | -0.085 | 3% | 7 | 1.14 | -0.085 | 3% | 7 | 0.706 | 0.049 | 1% | 8 | Shillelagh | ||
7 | iralibov | Senior | 02/26/23 22:01 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 5.2 | - | 3.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 1.7 | iralibov | 6.3 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.20 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | - | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | iralibov | Senior | 20 | 51 | -0.001 | 0% | 7 | 71 | 10 | 0.066 | -8% | 9 | 21.9 | -0.210 | 7% | 6 | 1.10 | -0.210 | 7% | 6 | 0.715 | 0.110 | 2% | 7 | iralibov | ||
8 | RogerSmith | Senior | 02/26/23 14:07 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.25 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.9 | RogerSmith | 4.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | - | 0.10 | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | 1.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 20 | 52 | 0.003 | 0% | 8 | 60 | 1 | -0.789 | 93% | 1 | 23.2 | -0.045 | 1% | 8 | 1.16 | -0.045 | 1% | 8 | 0.620 | -0.588 | -11% | 10 | RogerSmith | ||
9 | bubbler86 | Senior | 02/26/23 19:10 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 0.9 | bubbler86 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 2.00 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 2.5 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | bubbler86 | Senior | 20 | 61 | 0.304 | -19% | 9 | 72 | 12 | 0.197 | -23% | 10 | 26.1 | 0.337 | -11% | 9 | 1.30 | 0.337 | -11% | 9 | 0.693 | -0.047 | -1% | 9 | bubbler86 | ||
10 | TQ | Senior | 02/26/23 21:42 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.25 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 0.6 | TQ | 8.5 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | 0.5 | 0.05 | - | 3.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 20 | 64 | 0.402 | -25% | 10 | 83 | 22 | 1.151 | -136% | 11 | 27.0 | 0.449 | -14% | 10 | 1.35 | 0.449 | -14% | 10 | 0.802 | 0.756 | 15% | 2 | TQ | ||
11 | MitchelVolk | Senior | 02/26/23 12:40 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | MitchelVolk | 7.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MitchelVolk | Senior | 20 | 67 | 0.489 | -30% | 11 | 51 | 9 | 0.007 | -1% | 8 | 30.6 | 0.930 | -30% | 11 | 1.53 | 0.930 | -30% | 11 | 0.536 | -1.210 | -23% | 11 | MitchelVolk | ||
12 | MarkHofmann | Senior | 02/26/23 17:47 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4.9 | MarkHofmann | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MarkHofmann | Senior | 20 | 143 | 2.891 | -178% | 12 | 20 | 40 | 2.811 | -331% | 12 | 43.5 | 2.628 | -85% | 12 | 2.17 | 2.628 | -85% | 12 | 0.347 | -2.617 | -50% | 12 | MarkHofmann | ||
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 240 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | - | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | MIN | 2.0 | - | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 20 | 18.2 | -1.053 | -177.7% | 1 | 20.0 | 0.7 | -0.789 | -331.4% | 1 | 14.1 | -1.243 | -84.8% | 1 | 0.70 | -1.243 | -84.8% | 1 | 0.347 | -2.617 | -50.5% | 1 | MIN | |||
Intern | - | MAX | 5.0 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 4.9 | MAX | 9.0 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 20 | 143.1 | 2.891 | 64.7% | 12 | 82.6 | 40.4 | 2.811 | 93.1% | 12 | 43.5 | 2.628 | 40.1% | 12 | 2.17 | 2.628 | 40.1% | 12 | 0.852 | 1.130 | 21.8% | 12 | MAX | ||||
Journey | - | AVG | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | AVG | 6.1 | 2.0 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 20 | 51.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 59.9 | 9.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 23.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 1.18 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.700 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||||
Senior | 11 | Median | 2.4 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.9 | Median | 6.1 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 20 | 47.8 | -0.117 | 7.2% | 7 | 60.6 | 5.0 | -0.391 | 46.1% | 7 | 22.4 | -0.147 | 4.7% | 7 | 1.12 | -0.147 | 4.7% | 7 | 0.740 | 0.300 | 5.8% | 7 | Median | ||||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 2.0 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 0.9 | Mode | #N/A | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 20 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 1.38 | 0.79 | 1.41 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 0.85 | 0.47 | 1.21 | 0.55 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 1.49 | 0.67 | 1.60 | 1.46 | 1.17 | 0.78 | 1.49 | 1.38 | STD | 1.77 | 1.28 | 1.78 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.69 | 0.42 | 1.37 | 0.79 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.10 | 0.55 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 0 | 31.7 | 1.000 | 61.5% | 3.5 | 14.5 | 11.1 | 1.000 | 117.9% | 3.5 | 7.6 | 1.000 | 32.3% | 3.5 | 0.38 | 1.000 | 32.3% | 3.5 | 0.135 | 1.000 | 19.3% | 3.5 | STD | ||||
TOT | 12 | 25% | ile | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 20 | 30.3 | -0.671 | -20.2% | 4 | 57.6 | 1.9 | -0.676 | -11.6% | 4 | 19.0 | -0.601 | -11.8% | 4 | 0.95 | -0.601 | -11.8% | 4 | 0.675 | -0.182 | -3.5% | 4 | ||||
75% | ile | 3.5 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 20 | 61.9 | 0.328 | 41.2% | 9 | 66.4 | 10.5 | 0.099 | 79.8% | 9 | 26.3 | 0.365 | 19.4% | 9 | 1.32 | 0.365 | 19.4% | 9 | 0.788 | 0.653 | 12.6% | 9 | ||||||