Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 0.40 | BGR | 6.20 | PWM | 5.80 | CON | 7.40 | BTV | 8.00 | BOS | 8.50 | HYA | 1.90 | ORH | 8.20 | PVD | 2.50 | BDR | 0.80 | BDL | 4.70 | Forecaster | ALB | 6.40 | BGM | 3.30 | ISP | 0.00 | JFK | 0.30 | ABE | 0.20 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.00 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.30 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 65 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | ||
1 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 02/24/22 21:26 | 0.4 | - | 6.5 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 8.5 | - | 3.0 | 1.1 | 8.8 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 0.3 | donsutherland1 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.10 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Senior | 19 | 26 | -1.103 | 75% | 1 | 81 | 16.0 | -0.504 | 31% | 4 | 16.4 | -1.412 | 48% | 1 | 0.86 | -1.384 | 46.4% | 1 | 0.966 | 1.085 | 16% | 1 | donsutherland1 | ||
2 | Shillelagh | Senior | 02/23/22 21:43 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.10 | 0.2 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | Shillelagh | 7.5 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Senior | 19 | 52 | -0.733 | 50% | 2 | 67 | 2.6 | -1.440 | 89% | 3 | 23.5 | -0.741 | 25% | 3 | 1.24 | -0.688 | 23.1% | 3 | 0.806 | -0.195 | -3% | 8 | Shillelagh | ||
3 | WeatherT | Senior | 02/24/22 19:28 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 2.7 | WeatherT | 10.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 19 | 56 | -0.673 | 46% | 3 | 65 | 0.1 | -1.615 | 100% | 1 | 22.6 | -0.825 | 28% | 2 | 1.19 | -0.775 | 26% | 2 | 0.800 | -0.247 | -4% | 9 | WeatherT | ||
4 | TQ | Chief | 02/24/22 21:43 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | TQ | 10.0 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Chief | 20 | 67 | -0.526 | 36% | 4 | 93 | 27.7 | 0.308 | -19% | 6 | 27.6 | -0.355 | 12% | 6 | 1.38 | -0.423 | 14% | 5 | 0.955 | 0.994 | 15% | 2 | TQ | ||
5 | JessicaCain | Senior | 02/24/22 20:58 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 8.5 | - | 1.5 | 0.4 | 8.7 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 2.5 | JessicaCain | 10.1 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Senior | 19 | 71 | -0.470 | 32% | 5 | 88 | 22.8 | -0.030 | 2% | 5 | 23.9 | -0.708 | 24% | 4 | 1.26 | -0.654 | 22% | 4 | 0.921 | 0.721 | 11% | 5 | JessicaCain | ||
6 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 02/24/22 21:56 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 1.7 | NWS ER WFOs | 10.3 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 1.3 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 19 | 72 | -0.455 | 31% | 6 | 93 | 27.8 | 0.318 | -20% | 7 | 28.3 | -0.295 | 10% | 7 | 1.49 | -0.225 | 8% | 7 | 0.929 | 0.791 | 12% | 4 | NWS ER WFOs | ||
7 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 02/24/22 15:32 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 2.3 | Herb @MAWS | 10.0 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 19 | 77 | -0.381 | 26% | 7 | 94 | 28.7 | 0.381 | -24% | 8 | 28.7 | -0.257 | 9% | 8 | 1.51 | -0.186 | 6% | 8 | 0.941 | 0.885 | 13% | 3 | Herb @MAWS | ||
8 | MitchelVolk | Senior | 02/24/22 21:08 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 0.7 | MitchelVolk | 12.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.7 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MitchelVolk | Senior | 18 | 80 | -0.339 | 23% | 8 | 63 | 2.4 | -1.451 | 90% | 2 | 26.4 | -0.473 | 16% | 5 | 1.47 | -0.268 | 9% | 6 | 0.730 | -0.805 | -12% | 10 | MitchelVolk | ||
9 | RogerSmith | Senior | 02/24/22 18:49 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 1.5 | RogerSmith | 9.1 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | RogerSmith | Senior | 24 | 100 | -0.055 | 4% | 9 | 98 | 33.3 | 0.701 | -43% | 10 | 36.6 | 0.485 | -16% | 9 | 1.53 | -0.159 | 5% | 9 | 0.868 | 0.303 | 5% | 6 | RogerSmith | ||
10 | AveryLg7 | Rookie | 02/24/22 17:22 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 6.2 | - | 9.9 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 12.5 | 4.3 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.6 | AveryLg7 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | AveryLg7 | Rookie | 19 | 164 | 0.839 | -57% | 10 | 105 | 40.4 | 1.196 | -74% | 11 | 42.5 | 1.038 | -35% | 10 | 2.24 | 1.158 | -39% | 10 | 0.847 | 0.133 | 2% | 7 | AveryLg7 | ||
11 | NJTom | Intern | 02/24/22 13:28 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 | - | 7.1 | 5.2 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 4.1 | NJTom | 7.8 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | - | - | 0.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | NJTom | Intern | 20 | 206 | 1.436 | -98% | 11 | 97 | 32.0 | 0.611 | -38% | 9 | 47.0 | 1.461 | -50% | 11 | 2.35 | 1.367 | -46% | 11 | 0.551 | -2.239 | -34% | 12 | NJTom | ||
12 | MarkHofmann | Senior | 02/24/22 17:56 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 3.6 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.7 | MarkHofmann | 12.0 | 5.6 | 13.0 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MarkHofmann | Senior | 19 | 279 | 2.461 | -168% | 12 | 110 | 45.1 | 1.524 | -94% | 12 | 53.6 | 2.080 | -70% | 12 | 2.82 | 2.239 | -75% | 12 | 0.652 | -1.427 | -21% | 11 | MarkHofmann | ||
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | Forecast Parameters | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 234 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||||
Rookie | 1 | Consensus | MIN | 0.0 | - | 2.0 | - | 3.0 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 4.0 | - | 1.5 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | MIN | 7.5 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.3 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 18 | 25.8 | -1.103 | -167.8% | 1 | 62.5 | 0.1 | -1.615 | -94.2% | 1 | 16.4 | -1.412 | -70.5% | 1 | 0.86 | -1.384 | -75.1% | 1 | 0.551 | -2.239 | -33.7% | 1 | MIN | |||
Intern | 1 | MAX | 2.3 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 4.1 | MAX | 12.0 | 5.6 | 13.0 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 24 | 278.8 | 2.461 | 75.2% | 12 | 110.0 | 45.1 | 1.524 | 99.8% | 12 | 53.6 | 2.080 | 47.8% | 12 | 2.82 | 2.239 | 46.4% | 12 | 0.966 | 1.085 | 16.3% | 12 | MAX | ||||
Journey | - | AVG | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 1.5 | AVG | 9.7 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 20 | 104.1 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 87.7 | 23.2 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 31.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 1.61 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.831 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||||
Senior | 9 | Median | 1.0 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 1.1 | Median | 10.0 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 19 | 74.4 | -0.418 | 28.5% | 7 | 92.6 | 27.7 | 0.313 | -19.4% | 7 | 28.0 | -0.325 | 11.0% | 7 | 1.48 | -0.246 | 8.3% | 7 | 0.858 | 0.218 | 3.3% | 7 | Median | ||||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 0.5 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | - | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | #N/A | #N/A | 4.0 | 0.7 | Mode | 10.0 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 19 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 0.81 | 0.68 | 2.01 | 1.25 | 2.47 | 1.35 | 1.41 | 1.14 | 1.99 | 1.20 | 2.69 | 1.80 | 2.04 | 1.93 | 1.97 | 1.36 | 2.33 | 2.03 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.79 | 1.14 | STD | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.36 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 1.34 | 1.30 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.01 | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 1 | 71.0 | 1.000 | 68.2% | 3.5 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 1.000 | 61.8% | 3.5 | 10.7 | 1.000 | 33.9% | 3.5 | 0.54 | 1.000 | 33.5% | 3.5 | 0.125 | 1.000 | 15.0% | 3.5 | STD | ||||
TOT | 12 | 25% | ile | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 19 | 64.1 | -0.563 | -11.5% | 4 | 77.5 | 12.6 | -0.738 | -39.2% | 4 | 23.8 | -0.716 | -21.1% | 4 | 1.25 | -0.662 | -5.7% | 4 | 0.782 | -0.387 | -5.8% | 4 | ||||
75% | ile | 2.0 | 1.6 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 19 | 116.0 | 0.169 | 38.4% | 9 | 97.2 | 32.3 | 0.634 | 45.6% | 9 | 38.1 | 0.623 | 24.3% | 9 | 1.70 | 0.170 | 22.2% | 9 | 0.932 | 0.814 | 12.2% | 9 |