Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 7.00 | BGR | 21.50 | PWM | 14.30 | CON | 17.10 | BTV | 15.50 | BOS | 14.90 | HYA | 9.00 | ORH | 21.80 | PVD | 9.50 | BDR | 5.50 | BDL | 7.30 | Forecaster | ALB | 11.70 | BGM | 10.10 | ISP | 6.60 | JFK | 1.20 | ABE | 0.40 | MDT | 1.40 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.20 | EWR | 0.30 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.05 | DCA | 0.05 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 2.00 | ORF | 2.00 | RDU | 1.40 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 181.0 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster |
1 | iralibov | Senior | 03/11/18 20:39 | 10.20 | 3.20 | 14.20 | 7.30 | 13.80 | 0.50 | 11.20 | 5.90 | 10.60 | 4.90 | 14.20 | 0.70 | 6.20 | 2.80 | 16.50 | 5.30 | 15.20 | 5.70 | 6.20 | 0.70 | 11.50 | 4.20 | iralibov | 4.20 | 7.50 | 3.40 | 6.70 | 6.20 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 1.35 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | iralibov | Senior | 27 | 328 | -1.379 | 32% | 1 | 149.4 | 31.6 | -0.673 | 21% | 5 | 66.3 | -1.374 | 15% | 1 | 2.46 | -1.374 | 15% | 1 | 0.776 | 0.943 | 8% | 2 | iralibov |
2 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 03/11/18 21:29 | 10.50 | 3.50 | 14.20 | 7.30 | 15.00 | 0.70 | 10.00 | 7.10 | 8.30 | 7.20 | 13.50 | 1.40 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 14.00 | 7.80 | 14.30 | 4.80 | 5.20 | 0.30 | 7.80 | 0.50 | donsutherland1 | 3.60 | 8.10 | 5.00 | 5.10 | 6.60 | - | 2.90 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 1.20 | 0.05 | - | 1.50 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.05 | - | 0.80 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.30 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 27 | 365 | -1.041 | 24% | 2 | 151.2 | 29.7 | -0.820 | 26% | 2 | 67.0 | -1.287 | 14% | 2 | 2.48 | -1.287 | 14% | 2 | 0.751 | 0.546 | 5% | 4 | donsutherland1 |
3 | TQ | Senior | 03/11/18 20:59 | 11.00 | 4.00 | 15.00 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 2.30 | 10.00 | 7.10 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 4.90 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 11.80 | 9.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 1.30 | TQ | 7.00 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.60 | TQ | Senior | 27 | 394 | -0.787 | 18.3% | 3 | 133.5 | 47.5 | 0.585 | -18% | 8 | 75.0 | -0.373 | 4% | 4 | 2.78 | -0.373 | 4% | 4 | 0.833 | 1.877 | 16% | 1 | TQ |
4 | Brad Yehl | Senior | 03/11/18 21:30 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 14.20 | 7.30 | 16.40 | 2.10 | 9.50 | 7.60 | 7.40 | 8.10 | 16.20 | 1.30 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 12.40 | 9.40 | 13.20 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 0.50 | 6.40 | 0.90 | Brad Yehl | 5.40 | 6.30 | 2.80 | 7.30 | 5.60 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | 0.05 | 1.35 | 0.05 | - | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.20 | 1.80 | 0.05 | 1.95 | 0.10 | 1.30 | Brad Yehl | Senior | 27 | 400 | -0.735 | 17.1% | 4 | 135.2 | 45.8 | 0.454 | -14% | 7 | 67.8 | -1.200 | 13% | 3 | 2.51 | -1.200 | 13% | 3 | 0.756 | 0.621 | 5% | 3 | Brad Yehl |
5 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 03/11/18 21:30 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 14.00 | 7.50 | 12.00 | 2.30 | 7.00 | 10.10 | 7.00 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 0.10 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 8.80 | 14.00 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 8.00 | 0.70 | NWS ER WFOs | 7.00 | 4.70 | 5.00 | 5.10 | 8.00 | 1.40 | 4.00 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.90 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 27 | 425 | -0.512 | 12% | 5 | 150.5 | 30.4 | -0.764 | 24% | 3 | 76.1 | -0.234 | 3% | 5 | 2.82 | -0.234 | 3% | 5 | 0.719 | 0.021 | 0% | 6 | NWS ER WFOs |
6 | JessicaCain | Intern | 03/11/18 21:28 | 9.20 | 2.20 | 12.80 | 8.70 | 14.20 | 0.10 | 10.50 | 6.60 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 13.60 | 1.30 | 5.70 | 3.30 | 12.40 | 9.40 | 12.80 | 3.30 | 4.80 | 0.70 | 11.10 | 3.80 | JessicaCain | 4.60 | 7.10 | 2.80 | 7.30 | 8.60 | 2.00 | 4.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 1.60 | 0.20 | 1.80 | 0.10 | 1.30 | JessicaCain | Intern | 27 | 495 | 0.118 | -3% | 6 | 145.2 | 35.8 | -0.344 | 11% | 6 | 84.9 | 0.773 | -9% | 7 | 3.14 | 0.773 | -9% | 7 | 0.663 | -0.875 | -8% | 8 | JessicaCain |
7 | Roger Smith | Senior | 03/11/18 15:56 | 16.00 | 9.00 | 22.00 | 0.50 | 23.00 | 8.70 | 21.00 | 3.90 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 24.00 | 9.10 | 12.00 | 3.00 | 21.00 | 0.80 | 17.00 | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 9.00 | 1.70 | Roger Smith | 2.00 | 9.70 | 3.00 | 7.10 | 11.00 | 4.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 1.60 | 0.05 | 1.35 | Roger Smith | Senior | 27 | 548 | 0.588 | -14% | 7 | 207.5 | 26.5 | -1.078 | 34% | 1 | 87.2 | 1.045 | -12% | 8 | 3.23 | 1.045 | -12% | 8 | 0.730 | 0.207 | 2% | 5 | Roger Smith |
8 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 03/11/18 17:39 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 12.00 | 9.50 | 14.00 | 0.30 | 7.60 | 9.50 | 4.10 | 11.40 | 14.50 | 0.40 | 6.70 | 2.30 | 12.50 | 9.30 | 12.00 | 2.50 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 7.80 | 0.50 | Herb @MAWS | 4.30 | 7.40 | 2.30 | 7.80 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 2.40 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.05 | - | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 1.90 | 0.10 | 1.90 | 0.10 | 1.30 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 27 | 554 | 0.639 | -15% | 8 | 124.8 | 56.2 | 1.279 | -40% | 9 | 79.6 | 0.166 | -2% | 6 | 2.95 | 0.166 | -2% | 6 | 0.680 | -0.610 | -5% | 7 | Herb @MAWS |
9 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 03/11/18 21:25 | 27.00 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 3.50 | 22.00 | 7.70 | 18.50 | 1.40 | 13.00 | 2.50 | 14.00 | 0.90 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 18.00 | 3.80 | 12.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 8.50 | 1.20 | Donald Rosenfeld | 7.00 | 4.70 | 3.00 | 7.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | - | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 27 | 656 | 1.552 | -36.1% | 9 | 212.0 | 31.1 | -0.717 | 23% | 4 | 88.0 | 1.144 | -13% | 9 | 3.26 | 1.144 | -13% | 9 | 0.634 | -1.343 | -12% | 9 | Donald Rosenfeld |
10 | Shillelagh | Chief | 03/11/18 21:31 | 10.80 | 3.80 | 12.80 | 8.70 | 11.00 | 3.30 | 6.80 | 10.30 | 5.30 | 10.20 | 11.30 | 3.60 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 9.50 | 12.30 | 12.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 | Shillelagh | 3.00 | 8.70 | 2.10 | 8.00 | 4.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | Shillelagh | Chief | 27 | 656 | 1.555 | -36.2% | 10 | 114.7 | 66.2 | 2.077 | -65% | 10 | 89.7 | 1.340 | -15% | 10 | 3.32 | 1.340 | -15% | 10 | 0.632 | -1.386 | -12% | 10 | Shillelagh |
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 270 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 8.00 | 1.00 | 12.00 | 0.50 | 11.00 | 0.10 | 6.80 | 1.40 | 4.10 | 2.50 | 10.00 | 0.10 | 5.00 | 1.00 | 9.50 | 0.80 | 9.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 6.00 | 0.50 | MIN | 2.00 | 4.70 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 3.00 | - | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 | - | 0.05 | 0.40 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.15 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | MIN | 27 | 327.5 | -1.379 | -36.2% | 1 | 114.7 | 26.5 | -1.078 | -65.3% | 1 | 66.3 | -1.374 | -14.8% | 1 | 2.46 | -1.374 | -14.8% | 1 | 0.632 | -1.386 | -11.9% | 1 | MIN | |
Intern | 1 | MAX | 27.00 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 9.50 | 23.00 | 8.70 | 21.00 | 10.30 | 13.00 | 11.40 | 24.00 | 9.10 | 12.00 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 12.30 | 17.00 | 7.50 | 7.00 | 3.50 | 11.50 | 4.20 | MAX | 7.00 | 9.70 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 4.40 | 4.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.40 | MAX | 27 | 656.3 | 1.555 | 32.1% | 10 | 212.0 | 66.2 | 2.077 | 33.9% | 10 | 89.7 | 1.340 | 15.2% | 10 | 3.32 | 1.340 | 15.2% | 10 | 0.833 | 1.877 | 16.1% | 10 | MAX | ||
Journey | - | AVG | 12.07 | 5.07 | 15.62 | 6.68 | 15.34 | 2.80 | 11.21 | 6.95 | 8.12 | 7.38 | 14.63 | 2.37 | 8.26 | 2.34 | 13.93 | 7.87 | 13.20 | 3.80 | 4.27 | 1.67 | 8.21 | 1.61 | AVG | 4.81 | 6.89 | 3.74 | 6.36 | 6.18 | 1.98 | 2.59 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 1.03 | 0.58 | 1.14 | 1.18 | 1.13 | 1.53 | 1.39 | 2.39 | 2.09 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 1.46 | 0.23 | 1.77 | 0.46 | 1.12 | AVG | 27 | 482.0 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 152.4 | 40.1 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 78.2 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 2.90 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.717 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | AVG | ||
Senior | 8 | Median | 10.35 | 3.35 | 14.20 | 7.30 | 14.10 | 2.20 | 10.00 | 7.10 | 7.85 | 7.65 | 14.10 | 1.30 | 7.50 | 2.15 | 12.75 | 9.05 | 13.00 | 3.50 | 4.40 | 1.50 | 7.90 | 1.25 | Median | 4.45 | 7.25 | 3.00 | 7.10 | 5.90 | 1.70 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 1.55 | 0.08 | 1.93 | 0.10 | 1.30 | Median | 27 | 460.0 | -0.197 | 4.6% | 6 | 147.3 | 33.7 | -0.508 | 16.0% | 6 | 77.9 | -0.034 | 0.4% | 6 | 2.88 | -0.034 | 0.4% | 6 | 0.724 | 0.114 | 1.0% | 6 | Median | ||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 9.00 | 2.00 | 14.20 | 7.30 | 12.00 | 2.30 | 10.00 | 7.10 | 10.00 | 5.50 | #N/A | #N/A | 11.00 | 2.00 | 12.40 | 9.40 | 12.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 7.80 | 0.50 | Mode | 7.00 | 4.70 | 5.00 | 5.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.15 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | Mode | 27 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 5.39 | 5.39 | 4.08 | 2.57 | 3.88 | 2.89 | 4.53 | 2.64 | 2.64 | 2.64 | 3.55 | 2.65 | 2.40 | 0.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.04 | 1.84 | 1.63 | 1.17 | 1.83 | 1.25 | STD | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 2.38 | 1.38 | 1.06 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.03 | 0.94 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.71 | 0.37 | STD | 0 | 112.1 | 1.000 | 23.2% | 2.9 | 30.8 | 12.6 | 1.000 | 31.4% | 2.9 | 8.6 | 1.000 | 11.1% | 2.9 | 0.32 | 1.000 | 11.1% | 2.9 | 6.2% | 1.000 | 8.6% | 2.9 | STD | ||
TOT | 10 | 25% | ile | 9.05 | 2.05 | 13.10 | 6.70 | 12.45 | 0.55 | 8.08 | 6.08 | 5.88 | 5.50 | 13.53 | 0.75 | 6.33 | 2.00 | 12.40 | 5.93 | 12.13 | 2.63 | 2.88 | 0.70 | 6.75 | 0.75 | 25% | 3.75 | 5.10 | 2.80 | 5.50 | 4.85 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 1.10 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.78 | 0.58 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.05 | - | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1.43 | 0.00 | 1.65 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 25% | 27 | 395.3 | -0.774 | -14.6% | 3 | 133.9 | 30.6 | -0.752 | -17.4% | 3 | 69.6 | -0.993 | -10.8% | 3 | 2.58 | -0.993 | -10.8% | 3 | 66.7% | -0.809 | -7.0% | 3 | ||
75% | ile | 10.95 | 3.95 | 14.80 | 8.40 | 16.05 | 3.05 | 11.03 | 9.03 | 10.00 | 9.63 | 14.88 | 3.05 | 10.75 | 2.95 | 15.88 | 9.40 | 14.23 | 4.73 | 5.15 | 2.63 | 8.88 | 1.60 | 75% | 6.60 | 7.95 | 4.60 | 7.30 | 7.65 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 0.45 | 1.34 | 1.88 | 1.83 | 2.23 | 2.03 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.58 | 1.88 | 0.35 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 1.39 | 75% | 27 | 552.2 | 0.626 | 18.0% | 8 | 151.0 | 47.0 | 0.552 | 23.7% | 8 | 86.6 | 0.977 | 11.0% | 8 | 3.21 | 0.977 | 11.0% | 8 | 75.4% | 0.602 | 5.2% | 8 |