Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 7.00 | BGR | 6.70 | PWM | 6.60 | CON | 6.80 | BTV | 5.20 | BOS | 2.10 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 2.50 | PVD | 0.40 | BDR | 0.50 | BDL | 1.70 | Forecaster | ALB | 6.20 | BGM | 5.70 | ISP | 0.10 | JFK | 0.30 | ABE | 1.80 | MDT | 0.30 | PHL | 0.20 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.60 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 54.8 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster |
1 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 02/06/18 19:02 | 7.00 | - | 8.80 | 2.10 | 6.50 | 0.10 | 8.30 | 1.50 | 5.10 | 0.10 | 2.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 3.00 | 1.30 | Herb @MAWS | 6.70 | 0.50 | 8.00 | 2.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.80 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 21 | 26 | -0.729 | 63% | 1 | 71.6 | 16.8 | -0.378 | 23% | 4 | 17.3 | -0.833 | 35% | 1 | 0.82 | -0.919 | 35% | 1 | 0.939 | 0.735 | 6% | 5 | Herb @MAWS |
2 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 02/06/18 22:29 | 8.30 | 1.30 | 8.90 | 2.20 | 6.80 | 0.20 | 7.60 | 0.80 | 7.20 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 0.05 | - | 4.30 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 | donsutherland1 | 6.70 | 0.50 | 6.80 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 1.50 | 0.90 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Senior | 19 | 29 | -0.682 | 59% | 2 | 73.4 | 18.7 | -0.238 | 14% | 5 | 19.0 | -0.687 | 29% | 2 | 1.00 | -0.551 | 21% | 3 | 0.951 | 0.900 | 8% | 2 | donsutherland1 |
3 | iralibov | Senior | 02/06/18 22:29 | 8.70 | 1.70 | 7.20 | 0.50 | 8.60 | 2.00 | 9.70 | 2.90 | 7.20 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 0.05 | - | 4.10 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | iralibov | 6.80 | 0.60 | 6.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 2.40 | 0.60 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 | - | - | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | iralibov | Senior | 22 | 38 | -0.527 | 45% | 3 | 77.1 | 22.3 | 0.038 | -2% | 8 | 22.3 | -0.389 | 16% | 5 | 1.01 | -0.517 | 19% | 4 | 0.949 | 0.868 | 7% | 3 | iralibov |
4 | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 02/06/18 19:40 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 9.00 | 2.20 | 9.00 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 3.90 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.30 | Mitchel Volk | 6.00 | 0.20 | 6.00 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 21 | 39 | -0.515 | 44% | 4 | 71.1 | 16.4 | -0.412 | 25% | 3 | 20.2 | -0.580 | 24% | 3 | 0.96 | -0.632 | 24% | 2 | 0.896 | 0.161 | 1% | 7 | Mitchel Volk |
5 | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 02/06/18 22:30 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 2.30 | 9.00 | 2.40 | 9.00 | 2.20 | 7.00 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | NWS ER WFOs | 6.00 | 0.20 | 7.00 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.30 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS ER WFOs | GOVT | 22 | 48 | -0.360 | 31% | 5 | 81.5 | 26.8 | 0.376 | -23% | 12 | 27.2 | 0.050 | -2% | 10 | 1.24 | -0.041 | 2% | 10 | 0.948 | 0.864 | 7% | 4 | NWS ER WFOs |
6 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | PWSP | 02/06/18 16:00 | 4.50 | 2.50 | 9.00 | 2.30 | 8.00 | 1.40 | 7.00 | 0.20 | 8.00 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | 8.00 | 1.80 | 9.00 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.80 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed | PWSP | 20 | 54 | -0.274 | 24% | 6 | 75.5 | 20.8 | -0.079 | 5% | 6 | 27.4 | 0.059 | -2% | 11 | 1.37 | 0.232 | -9% | 11 | 0.872 | -0.155 | -1% | 10 | HeWhoShallNotBeNamed |
7 | TQ | Senior | 02/06/18 21:40 | 7.50 | 0.50 | 9.00 | 2.30 | 8.50 | 1.90 | 8.50 | 1.70 | 6.00 | 0.80 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 0.05 | - | 4.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | TQ | 6.50 | 0.30 | 7.50 | 1.80 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 5.00 | 4.70 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 22 | 54 | -0.264 | 23% | 7 | 78.1 | 23.3 | 0.114 | -7% | 11 | 24.2 | -0.221 | 9% | 6 | 1.10 | -0.334 | 13% | 6 | 0.891 | 0.102 | 1% | 8 | TQ |
8 | Roger Smith | Senior | 02/06/18 20:14 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 6.00 | 0.60 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 0.05 | - | 5.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 | Roger Smith | 5.50 | 0.70 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 4.70 | 2.90 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Roger Smith | Senior | 21 | 57 | -0.219 | 19% | 8 | 57.1 | 2.3 | -1.476 | 89% | 1 | 25.5 | -0.105 | 4% | 9 | 1.21 | -0.092 | 3% | 9 | 0.704 | -2.398 | -20% | 13 | Roger Smith |
9 | JessicaCain | Intern | 02/06/18 22:29 | 8.10 | 1.10 | 9.90 | 3.20 | 8.70 | 2.10 | 8.50 | 1.70 | 8.50 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 4.10 | 2.40 | JessicaCain | 8.10 | 1.90 | 9.50 | 3.80 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | - | 1.60 | 0.20 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.20 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Intern | 23 | 58 | -0.198 | 17% | 9 | 76.2 | 21.4 | -0.030 | 2% | 7 | 24.6 | -0.185 | 8% | 7 | 1.07 | -0.399 | 15% | 5 | 0.954 | 0.938 | 8% | 1 | JessicaCain |
10 | WeatherT | Senior | 02/06/18 21:58 | 13.00 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 5.00 | 1.80 | 9.20 | 4.00 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 0.05 | - | 1.80 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 0.30 | WeatherT | 5.30 | 0.90 | 8.00 | 2.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 0.70 | 0.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 19 | 69 | -0.017 | 1% | 10 | 62.6 | 7.8 | -1.060 | 64% | 2 | 22.0 | -0.416 | 18% | 4 | 1.16 | -0.212 | 8% | 8 | 0.811 | -0.962 | -8% | 11 | WeatherT |
11 | Brad Yehl | Senior | 02/06/18 22:31 | 12.40 | 5.40 | 10.60 | 3.90 | 7.80 | 1.20 | 7.40 | 0.60 | 8.40 | 3.20 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.05 | - | 3.80 | 1.30 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 3.00 | 1.30 | Brad Yehl | 6.40 | 0.20 | 8.80 | 3.10 | 0.10 | - | 0.40 | 0.10 | 2.60 | 0.80 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 0.20 | - | - | - | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Brad Yehl | Senior | 22 | 74 | 0.068 | -6% | 11 | 77.6 | 22.9 | 0.080 | -5% | 10 | 24.7 | -0.181 | 8% | 8 | 1.12 | -0.291 | 11% | 7 | 0.927 | 0.576 | 5% | 6 | Brad Yehl |
12 | Shillelagh | Chief | 02/06/18 22:26 | 9.30 | 2.30 | 11.50 | 4.80 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 6.80 | - | 10.10 | 4.90 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 0.50 | - | 2.30 | 0.60 | Shillelagh | 10.50 | 4.30 | 9.50 | 3.80 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.55 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Chief | 19 | 95 | 0.413 | -36% | 12 | 77.1 | 22.3 | 0.039 | -2% | 9 | 28.6 | 0.170 | -7% | 12 | 1.51 | 0.524 | -20% | 12 | 0.872 | -0.153 | -1% | 9 | Shillelagh |
13 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 02/06/18 22:30 | 11.00 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 3.30 | 9.00 | 2.40 | 9.00 | 2.20 | 10.00 | 4.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 8.00 | 5.50 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 7.00 | 5.30 | Donald Rosenfeld | 11.00 | 4.80 | 10.00 | 4.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 6.50 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 7.70 | 1.00 | 0.80 | - | - | 3.00 | 2.40 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 23 | 270 | 3.305 | -285% | 13 | 116.5 | 61.8 | 3.026 | -183% | 13 | 64.0 | 3.318 | -140% | 13 | 2.78 | 3.232 | -121% | 13 | 0.773 | -1.476 | -13% | 12 | Donald Rosenfeld |
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 274 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
Rookie | - | Consensus | MIN | 3.50 | - | 7.20 | 0.50 | 4.50 | 0.10 | 5.00 | - | 2.40 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | - | 1.80 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | - | 2.00 | 0.30 | MIN | 5.30 | 0.20 | 3.50 | 0.30 | 0.00 | - | 0.05 | - | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.00 | - | - | - | 0.05 | 0.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 19 | 26.1 | -0.729 | -285.2% | 1 | 57.1 | 2.3 | -1.476 | -183.4% | 1 | 17.3 | -0.833 | -140.0% | 1 | 0.82 | -0.919 | -121.4% | 1 | 0.704 | -2.398 | -20.4% | 1 | MIN | |
Intern | 1 | MAX | 13.00 | 6.00 | 11.50 | 4.80 | 9.00 | 2.40 | 9.70 | 2.90 | 10.10 | 4.90 | 3.10 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 8.00 | 5.50 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 7.00 | 5.30 | MAX | 11.00 | 4.80 | 10.00 | 4.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 6.50 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 7.70 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 23 | 270.5 | 3.305 | 62.9% | 13 | 116.5 | 61.8 | 3.026 | 89.4% | 13 | 64.0 | 3.318 | 35.2% | 13 | 2.78 | 3.232 | 34.5% | 13 | 0.954 | 0.938 | 8.0% | 13 | MAX | ||
Journey | - | AVG | 8.56 | 2.48 | 9.07 | 2.37 | 7.15 | 1.55 | 7.79 | 1.47 | 7.55 | 2.79 | 2.21 | 0.69 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 4.42 | 2.02 | 1.18 | 0.85 | 1.04 | 0.55 | 3.59 | 1.89 | AVG | 7.19 | 1.30 | 7.68 | 2.32 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 2.78 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 2.30 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.25 | 0.77 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.02 | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 21 | 70.2 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 76.5 | 21.8 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 26.7 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 1.26 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.884 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||
Senior | 10 | Median | 8.70 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 2.30 | 7.80 | 1.90 | 8.30 | 1.70 | 8.00 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 4.10 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 3.80 | 2.10 | Median | 6.70 | 0.60 | 8.00 | 2.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 21 | 54.2 | -0.264 | 22.8% | 7 | 76.2 | 21.4 | -0.030 | 1.8% | 7 | 24.6 | -0.185 | 7.8% | 7 | 1.12 | -0.291 | 10.9% | 7 | 0.896 | 0.161 | 1.4% | 7 | Median | ||
GOVT | 1 | Mode | 9.00 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 9.00 | 2.10 | 9.00 | 2.20 | 7.20 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 0.05 | - | 4.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | Mode | 6.70 | 0.20 | 8.00 | 2.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 2.50 | 0.20 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.60 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 22 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | 1 | STD | 2.59 | 1.73 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.64 | 0.77 | 1.36 | 0.83 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 0.75 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1.37 | 1.20 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 1.24 | 1.24 | STD | 1.71 | 1.49 | 1.73 | 1.24 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.07 | 0.07 | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 1 | 60.6 | 1.000 | 86.3% | 3.7 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 1.000 | 60.6% | 3.7 | 11.3 | 1.000 | 42.2% | 3.7 | 0.47 | 1.000 | 37.6% | 3.7 | 7.5% | 1.000 | 8.5% | 3.7 | STD | ||
TOT | 13 | 25% | ile | 7.50 | 1.30 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 0.80 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.05 | - | 3.90 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 25% | 6.00 | 0.30 | 6.80 | 1.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.15 | - | - | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 20 | 39.0 | -0.515 | 1.5% | 4 | 71.6 | 16.8 | -0.378 | -4.9% | 4 | 22.0 | -0.416 | -2.1% | 4 | 1.01 | -0.517 | 1.5% | 4 | 87.2% | -0.155 | -1.3% | 4 | ||
75% | ile | 9.30 | 3.50 | 9.90 | 3.20 | 8.60 | 2.10 | 9.00 | 2.20 | 9.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 75% | 8.00 | 1.80 | 9.00 | 3.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 0.60 | - | - | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 22 | 69.2 | -0.017 | 44.4% | 10 | 77.6 | 22.9 | 0.080 | 22.9% | 10 | 27.2 | 0.050 | 17.6% | 10 | 1.24 | -0.041 | 19.4% | 10 | 94.8% | 0.864 | 7.3% | 10 |