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|
Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
4.80 |
BGR |
8.70 |
PWM |
5.00 |
CON |
5.00 |
BTV |
3.50 |
BOS |
2.90 |
HYA |
0.05 |
ORH |
4.30 |
PVD |
0.20 |
BDR |
0.40 |
BDL |
3.30 |
Forecaster |
ALB |
5.50 |
BGM |
2.40 |
ISP |
0.05 |
JFK |
0.05 |
ABE |
0.05 |
MDT |
0.05 |
PHL |
0.05 |
ACY |
0.00 |
EWR |
0.10 |
BWI |
0.00 |
IAD |
0.00 |
DCA |
0.00 |
SBY |
0.00 |
RIC |
0.00 |
ORF |
0.00 |
RDU |
0.00 |
Error (") |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
46.4 |
Error (") |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error (") |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error (") |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
JessicaCain |
Intern |
12/24 22:29 |
7.00 |
2.20 |
7.20 |
1.50 |
5.20 |
0.20 |
4.90 |
0.10 |
3.90 |
0.40 |
2.70 |
0.20 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
4.40 |
0.10 |
0.30 |
0.10 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
3.50 |
0.20 |
JessicaCain |
3.90 |
1.60 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
2.40 |
2.35 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.60 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
JessicaCain |
Intern |
19 |
17 |
-0.991 |
75% |
1 |
50.7 |
4.3 |
-0.651 |
62% |
4 |
12.0 |
-1.028 |
47% |
1 |
0.63 |
-1.049 |
45% |
1 |
0.893 |
0.925 |
16% |
2 |
JessicaCain |
2 |
TQ |
Senior |
12/24 20:45 |
8.00 |
3.20 |
9.00 |
0.30 |
6.00 |
1.00 |
7.00 |
2.00 |
5.00 |
1.50 |
1.00 |
1.90 |
0.05 |
-
|
4.00 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
TQ |
5.00 |
0.50 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
TQ |
Senior |
19 |
24 |
-0.858 |
65% |
2 |
51.1 |
4.7 |
-0.614 |
59% |
5 |
14 |
-0.805 |
37% |
2 |
0.75 |
-0.806 |
35% |
2 |
0.896 |
0.946 |
17% |
1 |
TQ |
3 |
Shillelagh |
Chief |
12/24 18:12 |
6.30 |
1.50 |
5.80 |
2.90 |
4.10 |
0.90 |
5.10 |
0.10 |
3.30 |
0.20 |
1.80 |
1.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
4.30 |
-
|
0.50 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.10 |
2.30 |
1.00 |
Shillelagh |
2.80 |
2.70 |
3.10 |
0.70 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
1.50 |
1.45 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.50 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Shillelagh |
Chief |
19 |
25 |
-0.847 |
64% |
3 |
42.8 |
3.6 |
-0.715 |
68% |
3 |
14.4 |
-0.795 |
36% |
3 |
0.76 |
-0.795 |
34% |
3 |
0.852 |
0.617 |
11% |
4 |
Shillelagh |
4 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
12/24 15:46 |
7.50 |
2.70 |
5.50 |
3.20 |
5.00 |
-
|
4.80 |
0.20 |
3.00 |
0.50 |
1.80 |
1.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
6.20 |
1.90 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.40 |
2.80 |
0.50 |
WeatherT |
3.00 |
2.50 |
1.50 |
0.90 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.30 |
0.25 |
1.40 |
1.35 |
0.60 |
0.55 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.60 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
WeatherT |
Senior |
19 |
33 |
-0.685 |
52% |
4 |
46.0 |
0.4 |
-1.010 |
96% |
2 |
17 |
-0.504 |
23% |
5 |
0.92 |
-0.478 |
21% |
5 |
0.787 |
0.138 |
2% |
8 |
WeatherT |
5 |
donsutherland1 |
Senior |
12/24 22:29 |
9.70 |
4.90 |
8.80 |
0.10 |
7.60 |
2.60 |
7.00 |
2.00 |
4.70 |
1.20 |
0.20 |
2.70 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
3.50 |
0.80 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.35 |
3.20 |
0.10 |
donsutherland1 |
4.80 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
donsutherland1 |
Senior |
19 |
45 |
-0.455 |
34% |
5 |
52.3 |
5.9 |
-0.508 |
48% |
6 |
17 |
-0.577 |
26% |
4 |
0.88 |
-0.558 |
24% |
4 |
0.840 |
0.530 |
9% |
5 |
donsutherland1 |
6 |
Herb @MAWS |
Senior |
12/24 07:31 |
10.00 |
5.20 |
7.00 |
1.70 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
5.00 |
-
|
4.50 |
1.00 |
0.40 |
2.50 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
4.50 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
Herb @MAWS |
2.70 |
2.80 |
1.20 |
1.20 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.60 |
0.55 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Herb @MAWS |
Senior |
19 |
58 |
-0.215 |
16% |
6 |
46.1 |
0.3 |
-1.015 |
97% |
1 |
20 |
-0.227 |
10% |
7 |
1.07 |
-0.177 |
8% |
7 |
0.729 |
-0.289 |
-5% |
10 |
Herb @MAWS |
7 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
12/24 21:29 |
10.60 |
5.80 |
8.40 |
0.30 |
7.20 |
2.20 |
7.80 |
2.80 |
5.80 |
2.30 |
0.20 |
2.70 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
3.40 |
0.90 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
3.00 |
0.30 |
Brad Yehl |
4.80 |
0.70 |
2.60 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
19 |
60 |
-0.161 |
12% |
7 |
54.5 |
8.1 |
-0.301 |
29% |
7 |
19 |
-0.368 |
17% |
6 |
0.99 |
-0.330 |
14% |
6 |
0.804 |
0.261 |
5% |
7 |
Brad Yehl |
8 |
NWS |
GOVT |
12/24 22:20 |
10.00 |
5.20 |
9.00 |
0.30 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
6.00 |
2.50 |
1.00 |
1.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
6.00 |
1.70 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
NWS |
5.00 |
0.50 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
NWS |
GOVT |
19 |
62 |
-0.138 |
10% |
8 |
62.0 |
15.6 |
0.391 |
-37% |
9 |
22 |
-0.077 |
3% |
8 |
1.15 |
-0.014 |
1% |
8 |
0.862 |
0.695 |
12% |
3 |
NWS |
9 |
Roger
Smith |
Senior |
12/24 04:59 |
6.50 |
1.70 |
2.20 |
6.50 |
2.00 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
2.00 |
4.50 |
1.00 |
0.50 |
2.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
3.00 |
1.30 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
1.50 |
1.10 |
2.20 |
1.10 |
Roger
Smith |
1.80 |
3.70 |
2.40 |
-
|
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
-
|
-
|
0.80 |
0.70 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Roger Smith |
Senior |
22 |
86 |
0.334 |
-25% |
9 |
34.5 |
11.9 |
0.054 |
-5% |
8 |
28 |
0.540 |
-25% |
10 |
1.28 |
0.252 |
-11% |
9 |
0.480 |
-2.137 |
-38% |
12 |
Roger Smith |
10 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
Senior |
12/24 22:29 |
11.00 |
6.20 |
9.00 |
0.30 |
6.00 |
1.00 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
9.00 |
5.50 |
1.00 |
1.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
6.50 |
1.00 |
4.50 |
2.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.00 |
0.90 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
19 |
93 |
0.458 |
-35% |
10 |
66.0 |
19.6 |
0.759 |
-73% |
10 |
26 |
0.302 |
-14% |
9 |
1.35 |
0.398 |
-17% |
10 |
0.805 |
0.268 |
5% |
6 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
11 |
iralibov |
Senior |
12/24 20:29 |
12.00 |
7.20 |
9.40 |
0.70 |
9.60 |
4.60 |
8.70 |
3.70 |
6.10 |
2.60 |
1.60 |
1.30 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
3.60 |
0.70 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
1.50 |
1.10 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
iralibov |
5.80 |
0.30 |
4.50 |
2.10 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
1.20 |
1.15 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
iralibov |
Senior |
20 |
108 |
0.744 |
-56% |
11 |
69.5 |
23.1 |
1.082 |
-103% |
11 |
30 |
0.710 |
-32% |
11 |
1.49 |
0.684 |
-30% |
11 |
0.784 |
0.118 |
2% |
9 |
iralibov |
12 |
snowman |
Senior |
12/24 22:05 |
8.50 |
3.70 |
7.80 |
0.90 |
6.50 |
1.50 |
8.50 |
3.50 |
7.50 |
4.00 |
5.80 |
2.90 |
6.00 |
5.95 |
7.50 |
3.20 |
5.00 |
4.80 |
6.00 |
5.60 |
8.50 |
5.20 |
snowman |
0.00 |
5.50 |
4.00 |
1.60 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
snowman |
Senior |
20 |
215 |
2.814 |
-213% |
12 |
85.2 |
38.8 |
2.527 |
-241% |
12 |
52 |
2.828 |
-129% |
12 |
2.58 |
2.872 |
-124% |
12 |
0.489 |
-2.069 |
-36% |
11 |
snowman |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
|
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
233 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
6.30 |
1.50 |
2.20 |
0.10 |
2.00 |
- |
3.00 |
- |
3.00 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
- |
3.00 |
- |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
2.00 |
0.10 |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.30 |
1.20 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
- |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
MIN |
19 |
17.3 |
-0.991 |
-212.8% |
1 |
34.5 |
0.3 |
-1.015 |
-241.4% |
1 |
12.0 |
-1.028 |
-128.9% |
1 |
0.63 |
-1.049 |
-124.0% |
1 |
0.480 |
-2.137 |
-37.5% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
1 |
MAX |
12.00 |
7.20 |
9.40 |
6.50 |
9.60 |
4.60 |
8.70 |
3.70 |
9.00 |
5.50 |
5.80 |
2.90 |
6.00 |
5.95 |
7.50 |
3.20 |
5.00 |
4.80 |
6.00 |
5.60 |
8.50 |
5.20 |
MAX |
6.50 |
5.50 |
4.50 |
2.10 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
2.40 |
2.35 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
MAX |
22 |
215.4 |
2.814 |
74.9% |
12 |
85.2
|
38.8 |
2.527 |
97.0% |
12 |
51.7 |
2.828 |
46.9% |
12 |
2.58
|
2.872 |
45.3% |
12 |
0.896 |
0.946 |
16.6% |
12 |
MAX |
Journey |
0 |
AVG |
8.93 |
4.13 |
7.43 |
1.56 |
6.27 |
1.92 |
6.48 |
1.87 |
5.28 |
1.89 |
1.50 |
1.88 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
4.53 |
0.95 |
0.76 |
0.67 |
1.07 |
0.91 |
3.46 |
1.31 |
AVG |
3.84 |
1.87 |
2.65 |
0.87 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.94 |
0.90 |
0.55 |
0.51 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.39 |
0.35 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
AVG |
19 |
68.9 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
7 |
55.0
|
11.4 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
7 |
22.6 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
7 |
1.15
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
7 |
0.768 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
7 |
AVG |
Senior |
10 |
Median |
9.10 |
4.30 |
8.10 |
0.80 |
6.25 |
1.85 |
7.00 |
2.00 |
4.85 |
1.35 |
1.00 |
1.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
4.15 |
0.75 |
0.40 |
0.25 |
0.65 |
0.40 |
2.90 |
1.20 |
Median |
4.35 |
1.30 |
2.20 |
0.55 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.50 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Median |
19 |
59.1 |
-0.188 |
14.2% |
7 |
51.7
|
7.0 |
-0.404 |
38.6% |
7 |
19.5 |
-0.298 |
13.6% |
7 |
1.03
|
-0.254 |
11.0% |
7 |
0.804 |
0.264 |
4.6% |
7 |
Median |
TOT |
11 |
Mode |
10.00 |
5.20 |
9.00 |
0.30 |
6.00 |
3.00 |
7.00 |
2.00 |
4.50 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
Mode |
5.00 |
0.50 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.50 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Mode |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
1.80 |
1.80 |
2.00 |
1.79 |
1.95 |
1.32 |
1.77 |
1.35 |
1.66 |
1.52 |
1.48 |
0.79 |
1.65 |
1.63 |
1.29 |
0.90 |
1.32 |
1.27 |
1.57 |
1.45 |
1.83 |
1.29 |
STD |
1.77 |
1.53 |
1.08 |
0.69 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.19 |
0.16 |
0.66 |
0.64 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.33 |
0.27 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
STD |
1 |
52.1 |
1.000 |
75.6% |
3.5
|
13.1
|
10.9 |
1.000 |
95.5% |
3.5 |
10.3 |
1.000 |
45.6% |
3.5 |
0.50
|
1.000 |
43.2% |
3.5
|
13.5% |
1.000 |
17.6% |
3.5 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
7.38 |
2.58 |
6.70 |
0.30 |
5.15 |
0.98 |
4.98 |
0.18 |
4.35 |
0.88 |
0.48 |
1.25 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
3.58 |
0.28 |
0.09 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.31 |
2.15 |
0.45 |
25% |
2.78 |
0.65 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
- |
-
|
0.05 |
0.09 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
25% |
19 |
31.1 |
-0.726 |
-27.6% |
4 |
46.0 |
4.1 |
-0.667 |
-46.1% |
4 |
16.1 |
-0.631 |
-16.5% |
4 |
0.85 |
-0.617 |
-12.5% |
4 |
77.1% |
0.016 |
0.3% |
4 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
10.15 |
5.35 |
9.00 |
2.00 |
7.70 |
3.00 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
6.03 |
2.53 |
1.80 |
2.55 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
4.88 |
1.40 |
0.63 |
0.43 |
1.13 |
0.73 |
3.88 |
1.40 |
75% |
5.00 |
2.73 |
3.33 |
1.30 |
0.13 |
0.08 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
1.43 |
1.38 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.60 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
75% |
19 |
87.9 |
0.365 |
54.9% |
9 |
63.0
|
16.6 |
0.483 |
63.7% |
9 |
26.3 |
0.362 |
28.8% |
9 |
1.30
|
0.289 |
26.6% |
9 |
85.4% |
0.636 |
11.2% |
9 |
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