Complete Results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts’ –Storm #1 to see the complete station forecast verification table.

In the table...

Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.

Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.

Blue (Red) cells indicate the upper (lower) 25% percentile.

SUMSQ: sum of square errors

STP: storm total precipitation

TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error

Final Standings - all Forecasters

Station Comparison of Top Forecasters

Perfect Forecasts

Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)

Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)

Consensus forecast best @ ORH … BDL … BGM

MAX forecast best @ BGR … ALB

MAX forecast less than observed @

MIN forecasts best @ CAR … BTV

MIN forecasts more than observed @ CAR

Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores

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Verification:

Good data from CDUS41 … PNS … and F6 bulletins.

HYA

Storm-total snowfall report based on METARs

Stations observing at least:

Trace - 19

4" - 6

6" - 1

8" - 1

10" - 0

Max melt-water at BGR (0.46")

Snow-Liquid Ratios (SLR) for areas with mixed precipitation ... such as BDR and BOS ... are not reported.

New Daily Records:

None

12z 25-Dec-17

NOHRSC modeled snow depth