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Total Absolute |
Forecaster |
CAR |
101.0 |
BGR |
69.2 |
PWM |
94.9 |
CON |
82.2 |
BTV |
78.1 |
BOS |
63.0 |
ORH |
101.1 |
PVD |
45.0 |
BDR |
55.9 |
BDL |
54.0 |
ALB |
50.1 |
BGM |
63.6 |
Forecaster |
NYC |
21.4 |
ABE |
20.0 |
MDT |
15.9 |
PHL |
8.1 |
ACY |
12.1 |
EWR |
22.9 |
BWI |
5.3 |
IAD |
6.6 |
DCA |
1.9 |
SBY |
2.9 |
RIC |
8.7 |
ORF |
1.85 |
RDU |
1.70 |
Forecaster |
Rank |
Error (") |
Error Z |
%MPRV over
PORN |
AVG Error
(") |
Donald Rosenfeld |
100.0 |
1.0 |
60.0 |
9.2 |
70.0 |
24.9 |
60.0 |
22.2 |
75.0 |
3.1 |
35.0 |
28.0 |
60.0 |
41.1 |
30.0 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
35.9 |
47.0 |
7.0 |
45.0 |
5.1 |
65.0 |
1.4 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
15.0 |
6.4 |
24.0 |
4.0 |
28.5 |
12.6 |
23.0 |
14.9 |
15.0 |
3.0 |
20.0 |
2.9 |
15.0 |
9.7 |
20.0 |
13.4 |
17.0 |
15.1 |
8 |
5 |
10.0 |
1.4 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
5.0 |
3.3 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
1 |
288.8 |
-1.423 |
13.8% |
11.6 |
PORN |
89.5 |
11.5 |
59.5 |
9.7 |
63.6 |
31.3 |
58.8 |
23.4 |
70.0 |
8.1 |
41.5 |
21.5 |
61.9 |
39.2 |
34.4 |
10.6 |
26.1 |
29.8 |
47.1 |
6.9 |
56.9 |
6.8 |
72.3 |
8.7 |
PORN |
27.6 |
6.2 |
31.3 |
11.3 |
32.0 |
16.1 |
21.3 |
13.2 |
16.8 |
4.8 |
28.0 |
5.1 |
20.9 |
15.6 |
22.3 |
15.7 |
16.4 |
14.5 |
11 |
8 |
13.5 |
4.9 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
PORN |
2 |
335.0 |
-0.835 |
0.0% |
13.4 |
donsutherland1 |
90.0 |
11.0 |
63.5 |
5.7 |
66.0 |
28.9 |
69.7 |
12.5 |
70.0 |
8.1 |
48.1 |
14.9 |
71.4 |
29.7 |
40.4 |
4.6 |
33.5 |
22.4 |
54.6 |
0.6 |
66.8 |
16.7 |
80.0 |
16.4 |
donsutherland1 |
34.6 |
13.2 |
35.0 |
15.0 |
36.9 |
21.0 |
26.5 |
18.4 |
19.9 |
7.9 |
35.9 |
13.0 |
26.1 |
20.8 |
26.6 |
20.0 |
20.6 |
18.7 |
17 |
14 |
15.8 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
donsutherland1 |
3 |
351.8 |
-0.621 |
-5.0% |
14.1 |
NE Blizzards |
103.9 |
2.9 |
85.9 |
16.7 |
76.5 |
18.4 |
49.6 |
32.6 |
95.3 |
17.2 |
61.3 |
1.7 |
81.1 |
20.0 |
48.6 |
3.6 |
56.3 |
0.4 |
62.3 |
8.3 |
82.3 |
32.2 |
43.9 |
19.7 |
NE Blizzards |
38.9 |
17.5 |
29.6 |
9.6 |
38.9 |
23.0 |
30.2 |
22.1 |
28.9 |
16.9 |
21.6 |
1.3 |
17.6 |
12.3 |
24.5 |
17.9 |
27.6 |
25.7 |
20 |
17 |
13.2 |
4.6 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
9.6 |
7.9 |
NE Blizzards |
4 |
356.3 |
-0.564 |
-6.4% |
14.3 |
Mitchel Volk |
100.0 |
1.0 |
78.0 |
8.8 |
75.0 |
19.9 |
70.0 |
12.2 |
95.0 |
16.9 |
60.0 |
3.0 |
55.0 |
46.1 |
38.0 |
7.0 |
35.0 |
20.9 |
41.0 |
13.0 |
62.0 |
11.9 |
65.0 |
1.4 |
Mitchel Volk |
33.0 |
11.6 |
39.0 |
19.0 |
38.0 |
22.1 |
28.0 |
19.9 |
22.0 |
10.0 |
36.0 |
13.1 |
25.0 |
19.7 |
22.0 |
15.4 |
20.0 |
18.1 |
15 |
12 |
16.0 |
7.4 |
15.0 |
13.2 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
Mitchel Volk |
5
|
356.9 |
-0.556 |
-6.5% |
14.3 |
weatherT |
98.0 |
3.0 |
77.5 |
8.3 |
72.0 |
22.9 |
50.0 |
32.2 |
70.0 |
8.1 |
33.6 |
29.4 |
58.0 |
43.1 |
27.6 |
17.4 |
25.1 |
30.8 |
40.0 |
14.0 |
71.5 |
21.4 |
88.2 |
24.6 |
weatherT |
23.2 |
1.8 |
33.0 |
13.0 |
34.7 |
18.8 |
23.2 |
15.1 |
12.3 |
0.3 |
26.0 |
3.1 |
18.9 |
13.6 |
14.6 |
8.0 |
22.1 |
20.2 |
6 |
3 |
9.6 |
0.9 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
weatherT |
6 |
363.5 |
-0.472 |
-8.5% |
14.5 |
Brad Yehl |
124.0 |
23.0 |
69.0 |
0.2 |
58.4 |
36.5 |
48.0 |
34.2 |
69.0 |
9.1 |
46.2 |
16.8 |
72.0 |
29.1 |
31.2 |
13.8 |
32.7 |
23.2 |
38.4 |
15.6 |
52.4 |
2.3 |
62.8 |
0.8 |
Brad Yehl |
28.0 |
6.6 |
47.2 |
27.2 |
42.8 |
26.9 |
24.8 |
16.7 |
14.2 |
2.2 |
29.7 |
6.8 |
32.6 |
27.3 |
28.4 |
21.8 |
18.6 |
16.7 |
9 |
6 |
9.0 |
0.4 |
5.2 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
Brad Yehl |
7
|
369.9 |
-0.391 |
-10.4% |
14.8 |
Herb @MAWS |
122.0 |
21.0 |
79.0 |
9.8 |
77.0 |
17.9 |
73.0 |
9.2 |
79.0 |
0.9 |
52.0 |
11.0 |
85.0 |
16.1 |
42.0 |
3.0 |
36.0 |
19.9 |
65.0 |
11.0 |
77.0 |
26.9 |
94.0 |
30.4 |
Herb @MAWS |
42.0 |
20.6 |
42.0 |
22.0 |
38.0 |
22.1 |
31.0 |
22.9 |
25.0 |
13.0 |
39.0 |
16.1 |
28.0 |
22.7 |
29.0 |
22.4 |
21.0 |
19.1 |
18 |
15 |
18.0 |
9.4 |
10.0 |
8.2 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
Herb @MAWS |
8 |
396.9 |
-0.047 |
-18.5% |
15.9 |
Roger Smith |
137.2 |
36.2 |
75.5 |
6.3 |
60.0 |
34.9 |
55.0 |
27.2 |
142.3 |
64.2 |
48.0 |
15.0 |
56.7 |
44.4 |
44.4 |
0.6 |
28.0 |
27.9 |
38.0 |
16.0 |
55.5 |
5.4 |
89.9 |
26.3 |
Roger Smith |
31.3 |
9.9 |
30.5 |
10.5 |
22.2 |
6.3 |
24.5 |
16.4 |
18.8 |
6.8 |
33.3 |
10.4 |
20.0 |
14.7 |
18.0 |
11.4 |
17.0 |
15.1 |
15 |
12 |
12.5 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
Roger Smith |
9
|
424.0 |
0.298 |
-26.6% |
17.0 |
iralibov |
85.0 |
16.0 |
65.0 |
4.2 |
58.0 |
36.9 |
77.0 |
5.2 |
118.0 |
39.9 |
51.0 |
12.0 |
67.0 |
34.1 |
48.0 |
3.0 |
46.0 |
9.9 |
51.0 |
3.0 |
82.0 |
31.9 |
80.0 |
16.4 |
iralibov |
43.0 |
21.6 |
41.0 |
21.0 |
31.0 |
15.1 |
27.0 |
18.9 |
22.0 |
10.0 |
46.0 |
23.1 |
26.0 |
20.7 |
23.0 |
16.4 |
21.0 |
19.1 |
18 |
15 |
20.0 |
11.4 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
iralibov |
10 |
428.3 |
0.353 |
-27.9% |
17.1 |
TQ |
90.0 |
11.0 |
60.0 |
9.2 |
50.0 |
44.9 |
55.0 |
27.2 |
90.0 |
11.9 |
40.0 |
23.0 |
50.0 |
51.1 |
40.0 |
5.0 |
50.0 |
5.9 |
45.0 |
9.0 |
65.0 |
14.9 |
100.0 |
36.4 |
TQ |
45.0 |
23.6 |
40.0 |
20.0 |
35.0 |
19.1 |
20.0 |
11.9 |
20.0 |
8.0 |
50.0 |
27.1 |
20.0 |
14.7 |
20.0 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
13.1 |
10 |
7 |
10.0 |
1.4 |
10.0 |
8.2 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
TQ |
11 |
430.3 |
0.378 |
-28.4% |
17.2 |
christopher tingus |
62.0 |
39.0 |
88.0 |
18.8 |
88.0 |
6.9 |
93.0 |
10.8 |
62.0 |
16.1 |
79.0 |
16.0 |
82.0 |
19.1 |
78.0 |
33.0 |
77.0 |
21.1 |
63.0 |
9.0 |
61.0 |
10.9 |
62.0 |
1.6 |
christopher tingus |
63.0 |
41.6 |
55.0 |
35.0 |
53.0 |
37.1 |
52.0 |
43.9 |
41.0 |
29.0 |
42.0 |
19.1 |
32.0 |
26.7 |
28.0 |
21.4 |
22.0 |
20.1 |
24 |
21 |
24.0 |
15.4 |
24.0 |
22.2 |
18.0 |
16.3 |
christopher tingus |
12 |
551.1 |
1.916 |
-64.5% |
22.0 |
MarkHofmann |
68.0 |
33.0 |
55.0 |
14.2 |
45.0 |
49.9 |
46.0 |
36.2 |
55.0 |
23.1 |
35.0 |
28.0 |
41.0 |
60.1 |
36.0 |
9.0 |
34.0 |
21.9 |
37.0 |
17.0 |
42.0 |
8.1 |
35.0 |
28.6 |
MarkHofmann |
36.0 |
14.6 |
37.0 |
17.0 |
35.0 |
19.1 |
28.0 |
19.9 |
24.0 |
12.0 |
25.0 |
2.1 |
32.0 |
26.7 |
28.0 |
21.4 |
27.0 |
25.1 |
24 |
21 |
20.0 |
11.4 |
22.0 |
20.2 |
17.0 |
15.3 |
MarkHofmann |
13 |
554.9 |
1.964 |
-65.6% |
22.2 |
FCST Statistics |
CAR |
Err |
BGR |
Err |
PWM |
Err |
CON |
Err |
BTV |
Err |
BOS |
Err |
ORH |
Err |
PVD |
Err |
BDR |
Err |
BDL |
Err |
ALB |
Err |
BGM |
Err |
FCST Statistics |
NYC |
Err |
ABE |
Err |
MDT |
Err |
PHL |
Err |
ACY |
Err |
EWR |
Err |
BWI |
Err |
IAD |
Err |
DCA |
Err |
SBY |
Err |
RIC |
Err |
ORF |
Err |
RDU |
Err |
FCST Statistics |
Rank |
Error |
Z |
%MPRV |
AVG |
MIN |
62.0 |
1.0 |
55.0 |
0.2 |
45.0 |
6.9 |
46.0 |
5.2 |
55.0 |
0.9 |
33.6 |
1.70 |
41.0 |
16.10 |
27.6 |
0.6 |
20.0 |
0.4 |
37.0 |
0.6 |
42.0 |
2.3 |
35.0 |
0.8 |
MIN |
15.0 |
1.80 |
24.0 |
4.0 |
22.2 |
6.3 |
20.0 |
11.9 |
12.3 |
0.25 |
20.0 |
1.30 |
15.0 |
9.7 |
14.6 |
8.0 |
15.0 |
13.1 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
9.0 |
0.4 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
MIN |
1 |
288.8 |
-1.423 |
-65.6% |
12 |
MAX |
137.2 |
39.0 |
88.0 |
18.8 |
88.0 |
49.9 |
93.0 |
36.2 |
142.3 |
64.2 |
79.0 |
29.4 |
85.0 |
60.1 |
78.0 |
33.0 |
77.0 |
35.9 |
65.0 |
17.0 |
82.3 |
32.2 |
100.0 |
36.4 |
MAX |
63.0 |
41.6 |
55.0 |
35.0 |
53.0 |
37.1 |
52.0 |
43.9 |
41.0 |
29.0 |
50.0 |
27.1 |
32.6 |
27.3 |
29.0 |
22.4 |
27.6 |
25.7 |
24.0 |
21.2 |
24.0 |
15.4 |
24.0 |
22.2 |
18.0 |
16.3 |
MAX |
13 |
554.9 |
1.964 |
13.8% |
22 |
AVG |
97.7 |
16.1 |
70.5 |
9.3 |
66.1 |
28.8 |
61.9 |
21.9 |
83.9 |
17.4 |
48.5 |
16.9 |
64.7 |
36.4 |
41.4 |
9.7 |
38.4 |
20.8 |
48.4 |
10.0 |
63.0 |
15.0 |
72.2 |
16.4 |
AVG |
35.4 |
15.0 |
37.3 |
17.3 |
35.8 |
19.9 |
27.7 |
19.6 |
21.5 |
9.5 |
33.3 |
11.0 |
24.2 |
18.9 |
23.4 |
16.8 |
20.4 |
18.5 |
15.0 |
12.2 |
14.7 |
6.1 |
10.6 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
8.4 |
AVG |
7 |
400.6 |
0.000 |
-19.6% |
16 |
Median |
98.0 |
11.5 |
69.0 |
9.2 |
66.0 |
28.9 |
58.8 |
23.4 |
75.0 |
11.9 |
48.0 |
16.0 |
61.9 |
39.2 |
40.0 |
7.0 |
34.0 |
21.9 |
47.0 |
9.0 |
62.0 |
11.9 |
72.3 |
16.4 |
Median |
34.6 |
13.2 |
37.0 |
17.0 |
35.0 |
19.1 |
26.5 |
18.4 |
20.0 |
8.0 |
33.3 |
10.4 |
25.0 |
19.7 |
23.0 |
16.4 |
20.6 |
18.7 |
15.0 |
12.2 |
13.5 |
4.9 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
Median |
7 |
369.9 |
-0.391 |
-10.4% |
15 |
Mode |
100.0 |
1.0 |
60.0 |
9.2 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
55.0 |
27.2 |
70.0 |
8.1 |
35.0 |
28.0 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
3.0 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
9.0 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
65.0 |
1.4 |
Mode |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
38.0 |
22.1 |
28.0 |
19.9 |
22.0 |
10.0 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
20.0 |
14.7 |
20.0 |
13.4 |
17.0 |
15.1 |
15.0 |
12.2 |
10.0 |
1.4 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
Mode |
|
|
|
|
|
STD |
21.2 |
13.4 |
10.8 |
5.0 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
13.8 |
10.7 |
24.3 |
17.2 |
12.8 |
8.9 |
13.2 |
13.2 |
12.8 |
8.7 |
15.5 |
10.1 |
10.0 |
5.0 |
12.9 |
10.2 |
19.2 |
12.6 |
STD |
11.8 |
10.4 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
STD |
4 |
78.6 |
1.000 |
23.4% |
3.142 |
33% |
90.0 |
11.0 |
63.5 |
8.3 |
60.0 |
22.9 |
55.0 |
12.5 |
70.0 |
8.1 |
41.5 |
14.9 |
58.0 |
29.7 |
36.0 |
4.6 |
32.7 |
20.9 |
41.0 |
8.3 |
56.9 |
8.1 |
65.0 |
8.7 |
33% |
31.3 |
9.9 |
33.0 |
13.0 |
34.7 |
18.8 |
24.5 |
16.4 |
18.8 |
6.7 |
28.0 |
5.1 |
20.0 |
14.7 |
22.0 |
15.4 |
18.6 |
16.7 |
10.7 |
7.8 |
12.5 |
3.8 |
7.8 |
5.9 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
33% |
5 |
356.9 |
-0.556 |
-26.6% |
14.3 |
67% |
100.0 |
21.0 |
77.5 |
9.7 |
72.0 |
34.9 |
69.7 |
27.2 |
90.0 |
16.9 |
51.0 |
21.5 |
71.4 |
43.1 |
42.0 |
10.6 |
36.0 |
23.2 |
51.0 |
13.0 |
66.8 |
16.7 |
80.0 |
24.6 |
67% |
38.9 |
17.5 |
40.0 |
20.0 |
38.0 |
22.1 |
28.0 |
19.9 |
22.0 |
10.0 |
36.0 |
13.1 |
26.1 |
20.8 |
26.6 |
20.0 |
21.0 |
19.1 |
18.0 |
15.2 |
16.0 |
7.4 |
10.0 |
8.2 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
67% |
9 |
424.0 |
0.298 |
-6.5% |
17.0 |
NCDC
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Period
of Record (") |
100.6 |
100% |
62.4 |
111% |
66.5 |
143% |
61.0 |
135% |
74.4 |
105% |
41.7 |
151% |
63.4 |
159% |
35.0 |
129% |
25.5 |
219% |
47.7 |
113% |
61.0 |
82% |
78.9 |
81% |
Period of Record (") |
27.7 |
77% |
31.8 |
63% |
34.2 |
46% |
20.4 |
40% |
15.9 |
76% |
27.5 |
83% |
21.2 |
25% |
22.7 |
29% |
17.1 |
11% |
14.4 |
20% |
13.7 |
63% |
7.9 |
23% |
7.6 |
22% |
Period of Record (") |
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AVG FCST
/ Climo |
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AVG FCST / Climo |
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AVG FCST / Climo |
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|
Avg FCST
(PCT Climo) |
97% |
-3% |
113% |
2% |
99% |
-43% |
102% |
-33% |
113% |
8% |
116% |
-35% |
102% |
-57% |
118% |
-10% |
151% |
-68% |
101% |
-12% |
103% |
21% |
91% |
11% |
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) |
128% |
51% |
117% |
54% |
105% |
58% |
136% |
96% |
135% |
60% |
121% |
38% |
114% |
89% |
103% |
74% |
119% |
108% |
104% |
84% |
108% |
44% |
135% |
111% |
132% |
110% |
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) |
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|
Median
FCST (PCT Climo) |
97% |
-3% |
111% |
0% |
99% |
-43% |
96% |
-38% |
101% |
-4% |
115% |
-36% |
98% |
-62% |
114% |
-14% |
133% |
-86% |
99% |
-15% |
102% |
20% |
92% |
11% |
Median FCST (PCT
Climo) |
125% |
48% |
116% |
53% |
102% |
56% |
130% |
90% |
126% |
50% |
121% |
38% |
118% |
93% |
101% |
72% |
120% |
109% |
104% |
84% |
99% |
35% |
105% |
82% |
105% |
83% |
Median FCST (PCT Climo) |
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