Total Absolute
Forecaster	CAR	59.9	BGR	55.7	PWM	37.1	CON	51.8	BTV	91.0	BOS	35.6	ORH	60.2	PVD	36.9	BDR	38.1	BDL	30.6	ALB	45.4	BGM	78.3	NYC	51.4	ABE	59.8	MDT	57.3	PHL	78.7	ACY	58.1	EWR	47.9	BWI	77.0	IAD	73.2	DCA	56.1	SBY	-	RIC	28.0	ORF	9.20	RDU	7.90	Forecaster	Rank	Error	Error Z	%MPRV over PORN	AVG Error
herb@maws	84.0	24.1	53.0	2.7	60.0	22.9	60.0	8.2	66.0	25.0	47.0	11.4	66.0	5.8	40.0	3.1	32.0	6.1	52.0	21.4	53.0	7.6	66.0	12.3	31.0	20.4	39.0	20.8	39.0	18.3	32.0	46.7	19.0	39.1	32.0	15.9	29.0	48.0	30.0	43.2	21.0	35.1	-	-	13.0	15.0	10.0	0.8	10.0	2.1	herb@maws	1	456.0	-1.378	3.0%	18.2
MarkHofmann	67.0	7.1	62.0	6.3	57.0	19.9	59.0	7.2	55.0	36.0	56.0	20.4	57.0	3.2	45.0	8.1	62.0	23.9	64.0	33.4	66.0	20.6	61.0	17.3	47.0	4.4	45.0	14.8	38.0	19.3	37.0	41.7	35.0	23.1	32.0	15.9	36.0	41.0	29.0	44.2	31.0	25.1	-	-	18.0	10.0	17.0	7.8	15.0	7.1	MarkHofmann	2	457.8	-1.348	2.6%	18.3
millersville_bauers ®	85.0	25.1	60.0	4.3	66.0	28.9	55.0	3.2	65.0	26.0	40.0	4.4	54.0	6.2	35.0	1.9	33.0	5.1	42.0	11.4	58.0	12.6	68.0	10.3	37.0	14.4	30.0	29.8	35.0	22.3	25.0	53.7	17.0	41.1	34.0	13.9	25.0	52.0	24.0	49.2	19.0	37.1	-	-	13.0	15.0	8.0	1.2	7.0	0.9	millersville_bauers ®	3	470.0	-1.149	0.0%	18.8
ilibov	100.0	40.1	60.2	4.5	71.5	34.4	69.7	17.9	77.5	13.5	57.2	21.6	67.2	7.0	41.7	4.8	38.6	0.5	57.5	26.9	66.5	21.1	82.5	4.2	42.5	8.9	41.2	18.6	42.5	14.8	29.8	48.9	21.8	36.3	43.2	4.7	29.3	47.7	27.5	45.7	23.7	32.4	-	-	17.2	10.8	11.7	2.5	10.3	2.4	ilibov	4	470.2	-1.145	0.0%	18.8
wxduff	87.0	27.1	47.0	8.7	60.0	22.9	58.0	6.2	67.0	24.0	43.0	7.4	63.0	2.8	37.0	0.1	28.0	10.1	49.0	18.4	62.0	16.6	73.0	5.3	29.0	22.4	33.0	26.8	33.0	24.3	20.0	58.7	16.0	42.1	30.0	17.9	23.0	54.0	23.0	50.2	18.0	38.1	-	-	15.0	13.0	9.0	0.2	8.0	0.1	wxduff	5	497.4	-0.700	-5.8%	19.9
CONSENSUS	96.9	37.0	69.2	13.5	64.9	27.8	64.4	12.6	75.1	15.9	49.0	13.4	66.1	5.9	38.9	2.0	33.3	4.8	50.6	20.0	62.0	16.6	74.9	3.4	31.8	19.6	34.9	24.9	33.8	23.5	26.1	52.6	19.7	38.4	31.1	16.8	23.9	53.1	24.1	49.1	19.6	36.5	-	-	13.5	14.5	9.0	0.2	9.0	1.1	CONSENSUS	6	503.0	-0.608	-7.0%	20.1
kevinmyatt	125.0	65.1	98.0	42.3	78.0	40.9	75.0	23.2	85.0	6.0	61.0	25.4	64.0	3.8	50.0	13.1	52.0	13.9	55.0	24.4	68.0	22.6	78.0	0.3	43.0	8.4	55.0	4.8	48.0	9.3	35.0	43.7	28.0	30.1	40.0	7.9	31.0	46.0	35.0	38.2	28.0	28.1	-	-	18.0	10.0	12.0	2.8	10.0	2.1	kevinmyatt	7	512.4	-0.455	-9.0%	20.5
PORN	90.2	30.3	50.6	5.1	64.0	26.9	58.3	6.5	69.2	21.8	41.0	5.4	61.8	1.6	34.0	2.9	25.1	13.0	46.6	16.0	57.0	11.6	71.9	6.4	27.1	24.3	30.7	29.1	31.9	25.4	19.8	58.9	15.5	42.6	27.1	20.8	20.1	56.9	21.3	51.9	16.1	40.0	-	-	13.1	14.9	7.9	1.3	7.5	0.4	PORN	8	514.0	-0.429	-9.4%	20.6
donsutherland1	95.1	35.2	85.0	29.3	79.0	41.9	78.9	27.1	95.0	4.0	60.0	24.4	70.0	9.8	50.0	13.1	45.0	6.9	55.0	24.4	82.5	37.1	95.0	16.7	40.0	11.4	50.0	9.8	40.0	17.3	37.5	41.2	27.5	30.6	40.0	7.9	32.0	45.0	32.0	41.2	22.5	33.6	-	-	10.5	17.5	6.5	2.7	8.0	0.1	donsutherland1	9	528.2	-0.196	-12.4%	21.1
LES_CHASER ®	115.0	55.1	94.0	38.3	68.0	30.9	70.0	18.2	88.0	3.0	68.0	32.4	78.0	17.8	48.0	11.1	28.0	10.1	32.0	1.4	58.0	12.6	65.0	13.3	36.0	15.4	36.0	23.8	36.0	21.3	36.0	42.7	28.0	30.1	36.0	11.9	28.0	49.0	32.0	41.2	24.0	32.1	-	-	12.0	16.0	10.0	0.8	8.0	0.1	LES_CHASER ®	10	528.6	-0.190	-12.5%	21.1
nynjpaweather	120.0	60.1	80.0	24.3	80.0	42.9	75.0	23.2	85.0	6.0	55.0	19.4	75.0	14.8	45.0	8.1	40.0	1.9	57.0	26.4	70.0	24.6	85.0	6.7	40.0	11.4	45.0	14.8	45.0	12.3	35.0	43.7	25.0	33.1	40.0	7.9	28.0	49.0	25.0	48.2	21.0	35.1	-	-	15.0	13.0	10.0	0.8	10.0	2.1	nynjpaweather	11	529.8	-0.170	-12.7%	21.2
weatherT	126.0	66.1	71.0	15.3	62.0	24.9	60.0	8.2	87.0	4.0	36.0	0.4	50.0	10.2	33.0	3.9	30.0	8.1	54.0	23.4	70.0	24.6	92.0	13.7	29.0	22.4	37.0	22.8	48.0	9.3	25.0	53.7	19.0	39.1	28.0	19.9	21.0	56.0	22.0	51.2	18.0	38.1	-	-	15.0	13.0	11.0	1.8	9.0	1.1	weatherT	12	531.2	-0.147	-13.0%	21.2
Donald Rosenfeld	84.0	24.1	50.0	5.7	56.0	18.9	48.0	3.8	59.0	32.0	37.0	1.4	54.0	6.2	30.0	6.9	21.0	17.1	38.0	7.4	45.0	0.4	53.0	25.3	24.0	27.4	26.0	33.8	28.0	29.3	19.0	59.7	15.0	43.1	23.0	24.9	18.0	59.0	19.5	53.7	15.0	41.1	-	-	14.0	14.0	9.5	0.3	8.5	0.6	Donald Rosenfeld	13	536.1	-0.067	-14.1%	21.4
Mitchel Volk	98.0	38.1	66.0	10.3	63.0	25.9	88.0	36.2	74.0	17.0	52.0	16.4	71.0	10.8	41.0	4.1	37.0	1.1	44.0	13.4	51.0	5.6	59.0	19.3	34.0	17.4	33.0	26.8	31.0	26.3	29.0	49.7	20.0	38.1	38.0	9.9	19.0	58.0	16.0	57.2	15.0	41.1	-	-	11.0	17.0	11.0	1.8	14.0	6.1	Mitchel Volk	14	547.6	0.121	-16.5%	21.9
TQ ©	85.0	25.1	90.0	34.3	77.0	39.9	85.0	33.2	90.0	1.0	50.0	14.4	85.0	24.8	38.0	1.1	25.0	13.1	75.0	44.4	75.0	29.6	80.0	1.7	25.0	26.4	38.0	21.8	37.0	20.3	25.0	53.7	25.0	33.1	30.0	17.9	35.0	42.0	35.0	38.2	30.0	26.1	-	-	20.0	8.0	12.0	2.8	10.0	2.1	TQ ©	15	555.0	0.242	-18.1%	22.2
Roger Smith ®	73.5	13.6	88.6	32.9	52.2	15.1	48.8	3.0	100.1	9.1	60.5	24.9	71.1	10.9	55.4	18.5	44.2	6.1	51.1	20.5	57.0	11.6	80.5	2.2	22.7	28.7	37.2	22.6	18.8	38.5	16.4	62.3	17.5	40.6	26.2	21.7	18.0	59.0	17.7	55.5	17.7	38.4	-	-	13.5	14.5	8.8	0.4	27.7	19.8	Roger Smith ®	16	570.4	0.494	-21.4%	22.8
nnjwxguy78 ®	82.0	22.1	70.0	14.3	70.0	32.9	73.0	21.2	79.5	11.5	72.0	36.4	95.5	35.3	42.0	5.1	36.0	2.1	86.0	55.4	79.0	33.6	96.0	17.7	55.5	4.1	32.5	27.3	31.0	26.3	27.0	51.7	25.0	33.1	40.2	7.7	27.0	50.0	26.3	46.9	21.5	34.6	-	-	15.5	12.5	9.8	0.6	7.0	0.9	nnjwxguy78 ®	17	583.3	0.705	-24.1%	23.3
dryslot ®	115.0	55.1	75.0	19.3	70.0	32.9	60.0	8.2	75.0	16.0	35.0	0.6	75.0	14.8	35.0	1.9	20.0	18.1	28.0	2.6	65.0	19.6	90.0	11.7	20.0	31.4	25.0	34.8	28.0	29.3	30.0	48.7	12.0	46.1	20.0	27.9	18.0	59.0	18.0	55.2	15.0	41.1	-	-	12.0	16.0	4.0	5.2	3.0	4.9	dryslot ®	18	600.4	0.985	-27.7%	24.0
Shillelagh	100.0	40.1	70.0	14.3	47.0	9.9	56.0	4.2	70.0	21.0	32.0	3.6	45.0	15.2	23.0	13.9	31.0	7.1	55.0	24.4	55.0	9.6	70.0	8.3	18.0	33.4	20.0	39.8	22.0	35.3	14.0	64.7	9.0	49.1	20.0	27.9	13.0	64.0	15.0	58.2	10.0	46.1	-	-	9.0	19.0	4.0	5.2	2.0	5.9	Shillelagh	19	620.2	1.309	-32.0%	24.8
wxfox51 ®	131.1	71.2	78.4	22.7	77.0	39.9	72.4	20.6	64.6	26.4	52.6	17.0	73.2	13.0	38.9	2.0	24.4	13.7	46.4	15.8	58.8	13.4	72.9	5.4	22.6	28.8	27.5	32.3	27.9	29.4	18.9	59.8	13.6	44.5	26.7	21.2	18.9	58.1	22.9	50.3	15.5	40.6	-	-	14.1	13.9	8.5	0.7	4.7	3.2	wxfox51 ®	20	643.9	1.697	-37.0%	25.8
Raven	75.0	15.1	35.0	20.7	40.0	2.9	37.0	14.8	50.0	41.0	25.0	10.6	46.0	14.2	16.0	20.9	14.0	24.1	25.0	5.6	42.0	3.4	60.0	18.3	13.0	38.4	17.0	42.8	15.0	42.3	11.0	67.7	5.0	53.1	16.0	31.9	9.0	68.0	11.0	62.2	9.0	47.1	-	-	1.0	27.0	0.1	9.1	0.5	7.4	Raven	21	688.6	2.428	-46.5%	27.5
FCST Statistics	CAR	Err	BGR	Err	PWM	Err	CON	Err	BTV	Err	BOS	Err	ORH	Err	PVD	Err	BDR	Err	BDL	Err	ALB	Err	BGM	Err	NYC	Err	ABE	Err	MDT	Err	PHL	Err	ACY	Err	EWR	Err	BWI	Err	IAD	Err	DCA	Err	SBY	Err	RIC	Err	ORF	Err	RDU	Err	FCST Statistics	Rank	Error	Z	%MPRV
MIN	67.0	7.1	35.0	2.7	40.0	2.9	37.0	3.0	50.0	1.0	25.0	0.40	45.0	1.60	16.0	0.1	14.0	0.5	25.0	1.4	42.0	0.4	53.0	0.3	13.0	4.10	17.0	4.8	15.0	9.3	11.0	41.2	5.0	23.10	16.0	4.70	9.0	41.0	11.0	38.2	9.0	25.1	-	-	1.0	8.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.1	MIN	1	456.0	-1.378	-46.5%	18
MAX	131.1	71.2	98.0	42.3	80.0	42.9	88.0	36.2	100.1	41.0	72.0	36.4	95.5	35.3	55.4	20.9	62.0	24.1	86.0	55.4	82.5	37.1	96.0	25.3	55.5	38.4	55.0	42.8	48.0	42.3	37.5	67.7	35.0	53.1	43.2	31.9	36.0	68.0	35.0	62.2	31.0	47.1	-	-	20.0	27.0	17.0	9.1	27.7	19.8	MAX	21	688.6	2.428	3.0%	28
AVG	96.9	37.0	69.2	17.6	64.9	27.8	64.4	14.6	75.1	17.2	49.0	14.8	66.1	11.1	38.9	7.0	33.3	9.9	50.6	20.8	61.9	16.9	74.9	10.5	31.8	20.0	34.9	24.9	33.8	23.5	26.1	52.6	19.7	38.4	31.1	16.8	23.9	53.1	24.1	49.1	19.6	36.5	-	-	13.5	14.5	9.0	2.3	9.0	3.4	AVG	11	540.2	0.000	-14.9%	22
Median	95.1	35.2	70.0	14.3	64.9	27.8	60.0	12.6	75.0	16.0	50.0	14.4	66.1	10.2	38.9	4.8	32.0	8.1	51.1	20.5	62.0	16.6	73.0	10.3	31.0	20.4	34.9	24.9	33.8	23.5	26.1	52.6	19.0	39.1	31.1	16.8	23.9	53.1	24.0	49.2	19.0	37.1	-	-	13.5	14.5	9.5	1.3	8.5	2.1	Median	11	529.8	-0.170	-12.7%	21
Mode	84.0	24.1	70.0	14.3	60.0	22.9	60.0	8.2	85.0	4.0	#N/A	#N/A	54.0	6.2	35.0	1.9	28.0	10.1	55.0	24.4	57.0	11.6	#N/A	#N/A	29.0	22.4	33.0	26.8	28.0	29.3	25.0	53.7	25.0	33.1	40.0	7.9	18.0	59.0	32.0	41.2	15.0	41.1	-	-	15.0	13.0	10.0	0.8	10.0	2.1	Mode
STD	18.6	18.6	16.7	12.1	10.7	10.7	12.7	10.1	13.2	11.5	12.3	10.5	12.6	8.0	9.1	6.0	11.2	6.9	14.2	12.9	10.3	9.7	12.3	6.9	10.5	9.7	9.3	9.3	8.8	8.8	7.8	7.8	7.1	7.1	7.6	7.6	7.1	7.1	6.6	6.6	5.8	5.8	-	-	3.9	3.9	3.5	2.5	5.5	4.4	STD	6	61.1	1.000	13.0%	2.445
33%	85.0	25.1	61.4	9.8	61.3	24.2	58.8	7.9	68.5	10.7	42.3	9.5	62.6	6.2	36.3	3.0	28.0	6.1	46.5	15.9	57.7	12.3	69.3	6.1	26.4	15.1	31.9	22.3	31.0	20.0	23.3	48.8	16.7	35.2	27.7	13.2	19.7	49.0	21.8	46.5	17.2	34.9	-	-	13.0	13.0	8.7	0.8	7.8	1.0	33%	8	513.5	-0.437	-17.0%	20.5
67%	100.0	40.1	76.1	21.4	70.0	32.9	70.8	19.0	81.3	22.5	55.3	19.7	71.0	13.4	41.8	8.1	36.3	13.0	55.0	24.4	66.2	20.8	80.2	13.4	36.3	25.0	37.5	27.9	37.3	26.3	29.9	55.4	22.9	41.4	34.7	20.2	28.0	57.3	26.7	51.4	21.2	38.9	-	-	15.0	15.0	10.0	2.6	10.0	2.7	67%	14	550.1	0.161	-9.2%	22.0
NCDC Climatology																																																			NCDC Climatology
Period of Record (")	100.6	60%	62.4	89%	66.5	56%	61.0	85%	74.4	122%	41.7	85%	63.4	95%	35.0	105%	25.5	149%	47.7	64%	61.0	74%	78.9	99%	27.7	186%	31.8	188%	34.2	168%	20.4	386%	15.9	365%	27.5	174%	21.2	363%	22.7	322%	17.1	328%	14.4	0%	13.7	204%	7.9	116%	7.6	104%	Period of Record (")
AVG FCST / Climo																																																			AVG FCST / Climo
Avg FCST (PCT Climo)	96%	37%	111%	22%	98%	42%	106%	21%	101%	-21%	118%	32%	104%	9%	111%	6%	131%	-19%	106%	42%	102%	27%	95%	-4%	115%	-71%	110%	-78%	99%	-69%	128%	-258%	124%	-242%	113%	-61%	113%	-250%	106%	-216%	114%	-214%	0%	0%	99%	-106%	114%	-2%	119%	15%	Avg FCST (PCT Climo)
Median FCST (PCT Climo)	95%	35%	112%	23%	98%	42%	98%	13%	101%	-22%	120%	35%	104%	9%	111%	6%	125%	-24%	107%	43%	102%	27%	93%	-7%	112%	-74%	110%	-78%	99%	-69%	128%	-258%	119%	-246%	113%	-61%	113%	-250%	106%	-217%	111%	-217%	0%	0%	99%	-106%	120%	4%	112%	8%	Median FCST (PCT Climo)